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Los ciclos económicos regionales en Colombia, 1986-2000

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Igor Esteban Zuccardi Huertas ()
Abstract

En el presente documento se analizan las relaciones entre el ciclo económico nacional y los ciclos económicos regionales, entre 1986 y 2000. Como medida de actividad económica se utilizaron las series de total de ocupados para las siete áreas metropolitanas. Primero, se encontró que los niveles de actividad económica de Bogotá, Medellín, Bucaramanga, Manizales y Cali mantienen una dinámica de largo plazo común, en tanto que Barranquilla y Pasto están por fuera de dicha dinámica. Segundo, para analizar la relación de corto plazo entre el ciclo nacional y los ciclos de las regiones se construyó una medida de “fuerza de cohesión”: LINK. Se encontró que Bogotá, Medellín, Cali y Bucaramanga, en este orden, responden más a los choques que afectan a toda la nación frente a los que afectan a sus propias regiones, por lo cual tienen mayor relación con el ciclo nacional, mientras que Pasto, Barranquilla y Manizales dependen más de los choques que afectan a sus propias regiones.

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Paper provided by BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ECONOMÍA REGIONAL in its series DOCUMENTOS DE TRABAJO SOBRE ECONOMÍA REGIONAL with number 003159.

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Length: 57
Date of creation: 31 Jan 2002
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Handle: RePEc:col:000102:003159

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Adolfo Meisel Roca, 1999. "¿Por qué perdió la costa Caribe el siglo XX?," DOCUMENTOS DE TRABAJO SOBRE ECONOMÍA REGIONAL 003823, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ECONOMÍA REGIONAL. [Downloadable!]
  2. Gerald Carlino & Keith Sill, 1998. "The cyclical behavior of regional per capita incomes in the postwar period," Working Papers 98-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. [Downloadable!]
  3. Gerald Carlino & Keith Sill, 2001. "Regional Income Fluctuations: Common Trends And Common Cycles," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 83(3), pages 446-456, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. John Freebairn & Bill Griffiths, 2006. "Introduction," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 82(s1), pages S1-S1, 09. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Gerald Carlino & Keith Sill, 1997. "Regional economies: separating trends from cycles," Business Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, issue May, pages 19-31. [Downloadable!]
  6. Luis Armando Galvis Aponte, 2001. "La topografía económica de Colombia," DOCUMENTOS DE TRABAJO SOBRE ECONOMÍA REGIONAL 003095, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ECONOMÍA REGIONAL. [Downloadable!]
  7. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Boschen, John F & Mills, Leonard O, 1995. "The Relation between Narrative and Money Market Indicators of Monetary Policy," Economic Inquiry, Oxford University Press, vol. 33(1), pages 24-44, January.
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