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Modelo de simulación del valor de la pensión de un trabajador en Colombia

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Author Info

  • Alejandro Reveiz

    ()

  • Carlos León

    ()

  • Freddy H. Castro

    ()

  • Gabriel Piraquive

    ()

Abstract

Este trabajo desarrolla un modelo de simulación para estimar el flujo de caja de unpensionado que tiene su cuenta individual en una Administradora de Fondos dePensiones (AFP) colombiana. Se proyecta el flujo a partir de las sendas salariales ydensidades de cotización estimadas por la Dirección de Estudios Económicos delDepartamento Nacional de Planeación (DNP) y, basado en lo anterior, se calcula elvalor de la pensión que se podría obtener a partir de la riqueza acumulada al final de lavida laboral. Los resultados muestran que, de no adoptar medidas tendientes a aumentarlas densidades y las tasas de cotización, un gran porcentaje de la fuerza laboral obtendrápensiones inferiores a la mínima establecida por ley, sin siquiera cumplir con losrequisitos para acceder a la garantía estatal para obtener la misma.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA in its series BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA with number 005387.

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Length: 42
Date of creation: 11 Mar 2009
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:col:000094:005387

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Related research

Keywords: Pensiones; Garantía de Pensión Mínima; Jubilación.;

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References

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  1. Carolina Gómez Restrepo & Diego Jara Pinzón & Andrés Murcia Pabón, . "Impacto De Las Operaciones De Los Fondos De Pensiones Obligatorias En Los Mercados Financieros Colombianos," Borradores de Economia 406, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  2. Juana Paola BUSTAMANTE IZQUIERDO, 2006. "Factores que inciden en la cobertura del sistema pensional en Colombia," ARCHIVOS DE ECONOMÍA 002711, DEPARTAMENTO NACIONAL DE PLANEACIÓN.
  3. Hernando Vargas H. & Rocío Betancourt, 2006. "Pension Fund Managers Behavior In The Foreign Exchange Market," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 003317, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
  4. Carlos Leon & Juan Mario Laserna, . "Asignación Estratégica de Activos para Fondos de Pensiones Obligatorias en Colombia: Un Enfoque Alternativo," Borradores de Economia 523, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  5. Axel B�Rsch-Supan & Alexander Ludwig & Joachim Winter, 2006. "Ageing, Pension Reform and Capital Flows: A Multi-Country Simulation Model," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 73(292), pages 625-658, November.
  6. Solange Berstein & Andrea Tokman, 2005. "Brechas de ingreso entre géneros: ¿Perpetuadas o exacerbadas en la vejez?," Working Papers 8, Superintendencia de Pensiones, revised Jul 2005.
  7. Carlos Alberto Castro Iragorri, 2009. "Administración de riesgos en los Fondos Privados de Pensiones," ARCHIVOS DE ECONOMÍA 005250, DEPARTAMENTO NACIONAL DE PLANEACIÓN.
  8. Carlos Fernando Silva Peña, 2003. "Garantía De Pensión Mínima En Colombia: El Efecto De La Volatilidad Del Retorno De La Cuenta De Ahorro Individual," DOCUMENTOS CEDE 002750, UNIVERSIDAD DE LOS ANDES-CEDE.
  9. Francisco Pino & Solange Berstein & Guillermo Larraín, 2006. "Chilean Pension Reform: Coverage Facts and Policy Alternatives," JOURNAL OF LACEA ECONOMIA, LACEA - LATIN AMERICAN AND CARIBBEAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION.
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Cited by:
  1. María Angélica Arbeláez & Jorge Humberto Botero & Alejandra González & Camila Salamanca, 2011. "Sostenibilidad del seguro previsional en Colombia," WORKING PAPERS SERIES. DOCUMENTOS DE TRABAJO 009066, FEDESARROLLO.
  2. Mauricio Arias & Juan Carlos Mendoza, . "Un modelo de simulación del Régimen Pensional de Ahorro Individual con Solidaridad en Colombia," Temas de Estabilidad Financiera 044, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.

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