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La Tasa de Cambio Real de Equilibrio en Colombia y su Desalineamiento: Estimación a través de un modelo SVEC

Author

Listed:
  • Juan José Echavarría
  • Enrique López Enciso
  • Martha Misas

Abstract

En este documento se calcula la tasa de cambio real de equilibrio y su desalineamiento. Este último entendido como la diferencia entre la tasa real de cambio observada y la tasa de equilibrio. Para llevar a cabo este ejercicio se utiliza el enfoque de tendencias comunes asociadas a un modelo VEC estructural (SVEC). El ejercicio, llevado a cabo para el período 1962-2005, indica que la tasa real de cambio ha estado sobrevaluada principalmente entre 1962 y 1974, en 1983-1985 y en 1995-1997. Los resultados sugieren que la tasa de cambio real no ha estado lejos del equilibrio en los años recientes.

Suggested Citation

  • Juan José Echavarría & Enrique López Enciso & Martha Misas, 2007. "La Tasa de Cambio Real de Equilibrio en Colombia y su Desalineamiento: Estimación a través de un modelo SVEC," Borradores de Economia 4389, Banco de la Republica.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000094:004389
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    File URL: http://www.banrep.gov.co/docum/ftp/borra472.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Juan José Echavarría & Enrique López E. & Martha Misas A., 2008. "Desalineamiento de la tasa de cambio, destorcidas de cuenta corriente y ataques especulativos en Colombia," Coyuntura Económica, Fedesarrollo, December.
    2. Juan Pablo Cote-Barón & Deicy J. Cristiano-Botia & María Alejandra Hernández-Montes, 2021. "Un nuevo índice de tasa de cambio real para Colombia: ajuste por competencia en terceros mercados," Borradores de Economia 1188, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    3. Rafael Puyana, 2010. "El efecto Balassa-Samuelson en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 7801, Banco de la Republica.
    4. Rafael Puyana Martínez-Villalba, 2011. "El efecto Balassa-Samuelson en Colombia," Documentos CEDE 7959, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Tasa real de cambio de equilibrio; desalineamiento; modelo VEC estructural.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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