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Signaling in Financial Reorganization: Theory and Evidence from Canada

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Author Info
Jocelyn Martel
Abstract

This article proposes a signaling model of financial reorganization in which the firms use the provisions of the reorganization proposal, in particular the split between short term cash and deferred payments, to signal their viability to uninformed unsecured creditors. The empirical analysis based on an original data set of 393 Canadian firms in reorganization confirms that the probability of success in reorganization increases with the proportion of short term cash payments (3 to 6 months) to unsecured creditors, when controlling for the fact that firms are cash constrained. Also, the probability of acceptance of a proposal by unsecured creditors increases with the proportion of up-front payments (1 month) and the perceived probability of success of the proposal by unsecured creditors.

Cet article propose un modèle de comportement de la firme en réorganisation financière dans lequel la structure du contrat de réorganisation, et plus particulièrement la répartition entre les paiements comptants et différés, est utilisée afin de transmettre de l'information aux créanciers non-informés sur la viabilité de la firme. Les prédictions du modèle sont testées à l'aide d'une banque de données originale de 393 entreprises canadiennes en réorganisation financière. L'analyse empirique confirme que la probabilité de succès en réorganisation augmente avec la proportion des paiements à court terme (3 à 6 mois) aux créanciers non-garantis, après avoir contrôlé pour la contrainte de liquidité des entreprises. De plus, la probabilité d'acceptation d'une proposition par les créanciers non-garantis augmente avec la proportion des paiements comptants (1 mois) et la probabilité de succès de la proposition telle qu'anticipée par les créanciers.

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Paper provided by CIRANO in its series CIRANO Working Papers with number 95s-34.

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Date of creation: 01 Jan 1995
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Handle: RePEc:cir:cirwor:95s-34

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Related research
Keywords: Financial reorganization; Signaling model; Réorganisation financière ; Modèle de comportement;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
G34 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Mergers; Acquisitions; Restructuring; Corporate Governance

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

  1. Russell Cooper, 1984. "On Allocative Distortions in Problems of Self-Selection," RAND Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 15(4), pages 568-577, Winter. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. James, Christopher, 1987. "Some evidence on the uniqueness of bank loans," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 217-235, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Gunderson, Morley & Kervin, John & Reid, Frank, 1986. "Logit Estimates of Strike Incidence from Canadian Contract Data," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 4(2), pages 257-76, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Chemmanur, Thomas J & Fulghieri, Paolo, 1994. "Reputation, Renegotiation, and the Choice between Bank Loans and Publicly Traded Debt," Review of Financial Studies, Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 7(3), pages 475-506. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Asquith, Paul & Gertner, Robert & Scharfstein, David, 1994. "Anatomy of Financial Distress: An Examination of Junk-Bond Issuers," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 109(3), pages 625-58, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Myers, Stewart C, 1984. " The Capital Structure Puzzle," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 39(3), pages 575-92, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Giammarino, Ronald M, 1989. "The Resolution of Financial Distress," Review of Financial Studies, Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 2(1), pages 25-47. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Fisher, Timothy C G & Martel, Jocelyn, 1995. "The Creditors' Financial Reorganization Decision: New Evidence from Canadian Data," Journal of Law, Economics and Organization, Oxford University Press, vol. 11(1), pages 112-26, April.
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  9. Toni M. Whited, 1990. "Debt, liquidity constraints, and corporate investment: evidence from panel data," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 114, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  10. Myers, Stewart C., 1984. "Capital structure puzzle," Working papers 1548-84., Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Sloan School of Management. [Downloadable!]
  11. Aghion, Philippe & Hart, Oliver & Moore, John, 1992. "The Economics of Bankruptcy Reform," Journal of Law, Economics and Organization, Oxford University Press, vol. 8(3), pages 523-46, October.
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  12. Cho, In-Koo & Kreps, David M, 1987. "Signaling Games and Stable Equilibria," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 102(2), pages 179-221, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Jocelyn Martel, 1991. "Bankruptcy Law and the Canadian Experience: An Economic Appraisal," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 17(1), pages 52-63, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Gertner, Robert & Scharfstein, David, 1991. " A Theory of Workouts and the Effects of Reorganization Law," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(4), pages 1189-1222, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  15. Lucian Arye Bebchuk & Howard F. Chang, 1991. "Bargaining and the Division of Value in Corporate Reorganization," NBER Technical Working Papers 0097, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  16. Stewart C. Myers, 1984. "Capital Structure Puzzle," NBER Working Papers 1393, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Jocelyn Martel, 1996. "Solutions au stress financier : Un survol de la littérature," CIRANO Working Papers 96s-03, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
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