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Persistence of Innovation in Dutch Manufacturing: Is it Spurious?

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Author Info
Wladimir Raymond
Pierre Mohnen ()
Franz Palm
Sybrand Schim van der Loeff

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Abstract

This paper studies the persistence of innovation and the dynamics of innovation output in Dutch manufacturing using firm data from three waves of the Community Innovation Surveys (CIS), pertaining to the periods 1994-1996, 1996-1998, and 1998-2000. We estimate by maximum likelihood a dynamic panel data type 2 tobit model accounting for individual effects and handling the initial conditions problem. We find that there is no evidence of true persistence in achieving technological product or process innovations, while past shares of innovative sales condition, albeit to a small extent, current shares of innovative sales.

Cette étude analyse la persistance et la dynamique de l’innovation dans les entreprises manufacturières néerlandaises à partir des données de trois vagues d’enquêtes communautaires sur l’innovation (ECI), portant sur les périodes 1994-1996, 1996-1998 et 1998-2000. Nous estimons par la méthode du maximum de vraisemblance un modèle tobit de type II dynamique sur données de panel avec effets individuels et traitement explicite des conditions initiales. Nous concluons qu’il n’y a pas de véritable persistance dans le fait d’innover en produits ou en procédés, mais que les observations passées des parts du chiffre d’affaires en produits innovants influencent, quoique faiblement, les données contemporaines de ces parts.

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Paper provided by CIRANO in its series CIRANO Working Papers with number 2006s-04.

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Date of creation: 01 Feb 2006
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Handle: RePEc:cir:cirwor:2006s-04

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Keywords: dynamic panel data type 2 tobit; innovation; spurious persistence; modèle tobit de type II dynamique; données de panel; persistence; innovation;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data
C34 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Truncated and Censored Models
O31 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Technological Change - - - Innovation and Invention: Processes and Incentives

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  6. Balasko, Yves, 1978. "Economic Equilibrium and Catastrophe Theory: An Introduction," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(3), pages 557-69, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Stefano Demichelis & Klaus Ritzberger & Jeroen M. Swinkels, 2004. "The simple geometry of perfect information games," International Journal of Game Theory, Springer, vol. 32(3), pages 315-338, 06. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Govindan, Srihari & Wilson, Robert, 2001. "Direct Proofs of Generic Finiteness of Nash Equilibrium Outcomes," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 69(3), pages 765-69, May.
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Wladimir Raymond & Pierre Mohnen & Franz Palm & Sybrand Schim van der Loeff, 2007. "The Behavior of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator of Dynamic Panel Data Sample Selection Models," CIRANO Working Papers 2007s-06, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Gautier Duflos, 2006. "Persistence of innovation, technological change and quality-adjusted patents in the US pharmaceutical industry," Cahiers de la Maison des Sciences Economiques bla06029, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Aiyer Ghosh, Rishab & Soete, Luc, 2006. "Information and intellectual property: The global challenges," UNU-MERIT Working Paper Series 029, United Nations University, Maastricht Economic and social Research and training centre on Innovation and Technology. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Driesen Bram & Perea Andrés & Peters Hans, 2009. "The Kalai-Smorodinsky Solution with Loss Aversion," Research Memoranda 030, Maastricht : METEOR, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization. [Downloadable!]
  5. Bettina Peters, 2009. "Persistence of innovation: stylised facts and panel data evidence," The Journal of Technology Transfer, Springer, vol. 34(2), pages 226-243, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  6. Joze P. Damijan & Crt Kostevc & Matija Rojec, 2008. "Innovation and Firms' Productivity Growth in Slovenia: Sensitivity of Results to Sectoral Heterogeneity and to Estimation Method," LICOS Discussion Papers 20308, LICOS - Centre for Institutions and Economic Performance, K.U.Leuven. [Downloadable!]
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