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Vietnam's Accession to the WTO: Ex-Post Evaluation in a Dynamic Perspective

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Author Info
Houssein Boumellassa
Hugo Valin

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Abstract

Vietnam’s accession to the World Trade Organisation (WTO) on January 11, 2007 has represented the outcome of decades of efforts to modernise its economy. In this paper, we propose a new general equilibrium assessment of Vietnam’s accession to WTO using a dynamic approach and benefiting from the ex-post perspective offered one year after the membership acceptation. We rely on a dynamic global model incorporating duty-drawbacks and taking into account tariff changes at the HS6 level. A particular attention is paid on the sensitivity to dynamics assumptions and labour market closure. Our results show that gains for Vietnam linked to WTO accession are positive for trade in merchandises, but highly dependent on the evolution of textile and apparel sectors, whose exports were boosted by the commitments.

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Paper provided by CEPII research center in its series Working Papers with number 2008-31.

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Date of creation: Dec 2008
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Handle: RePEc:cii:cepidt:2008-31

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Related research
Keywords: Computable general equilibrium model; trade policy; world trade organisation; Vietnam;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-18.


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