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Multilateral Agricultural Trade Liberalization: The Contrasting Fortunes of Developing Countries in the Doha Round

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  • Antoine Bouët
  • Jean-Christophe Bureau
  • Yvan Decreux
  • Sébastien Jean

Abstract

Le modèle MIRAGE-Agri, construit dans le cadre d'une collaboration entre le Centre d'études prospectives et d'informations internationales et l'Inra permet de simuler les effets d'un accord agricole dans le cadre du Cycle de Doha. Il s'agit d'un modèle d'équilibre général appliqué centré tout particulièrement sur l'agriculture, qui comprend une représentation détaillée des politiques agricoles, et repose sur des données intégrant l'ensemble des accords préférentiels. Les simulations d'un accord agricole à Doha, sur la base du projet de compromis dit "Harbinson" montrent des gains relativement faibles, par rapport à la plupart des études reposant sur des données moins sophistiquées. En particulier, les conséquences d'une libéralisation multilatérale sur certains pays en développement apparaissent négatifs, du fait de l'érosion des préférences dont ils bénéficient.

(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by CEPII research center in its series Working Papers with number 2004-18.

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Date of creation: Nov 2004
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Handle: RePEc:cii:cepidt:2004-18

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Related research

Keywords: CGEM; Doha; Agriculture; Tariffs; FDI; Models; International trade models and databases; Trade negotiations;

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  1. Lionel Fontagné & Thierry Mayer & Soledad Zignago, 2005. "Trade in the Triad: how easy is the access to large markets?," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/10189, Sciences Po.
  2. Lionel Fontagné & Jean-Louis Guérin & Sébastien Jean, 2003. "Market Access Liberalisation in the Doha Round: Scenarios and Assessment," Working Papers 2003-12, CEPII research center.
  3. Hervé Boulhol, 2004. "Technology Differences, Institutions and Economic Growth: a Conditional Conditional Convergence," Working Papers 2004-02, CEPII research center.
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