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Monetary Policy under a Fixed Exchange Rate Regime, the Case of France 1987-1996

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Benoit Mojon

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Abstract

Ihis paper describes the implementation of monetary policy by the Banque de France during the period beginning in January 1987. This period was characterised by a quasi-fixed exchange rate for France, as the franc was never realigned within the European Monetary System (EMS). The behaviour of the Banque de France is modelled with VAR models, which are a means of breaking down the dynamics of interdependent time series of macroeconomic variables, into the various sources of exogenous fluctuations. In the case of an open economy the modelling of the monetary policy requires a careful account for the exchange rate impact on the short-term interest rate. This is even more tricky in the countries like France who target a fixed exchange rate to the DM. Even in the very short term, a variation of the interest rate can be interpreted either as a response to a demand shock for currencies, or as a genuine shock of monetary policy.

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Paper provided by CEPII research center in its series Working Papers with number 1998-14.

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Date of creation: Dec 1998
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Handle: RePEc:cii:cepidt:1998-14

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Related research
Keywords: Identification; SVAR; monetary policy; France;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

  1. John Thornton & Alicia García-Herrero, 1996. "Additional Evidence on EMS Interest Rate Linkages," IMF Working Papers 96/115, International Monetary Fund.
  2. Soyoung Kim, 1998. "Identifying European Monetary Policy Interactions: French and Spanish System with German Variables," Banco de España Working Papers 9811, Banco de España.
  3. Sims, Christopher A, 1980. "Macroeconomics and Reality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(1), pages 1-48, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Christopher A. Sims, 1986. "Are forecasting models usable for policy analysis?," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, issue Win, pages 2-16. [Downloadable!]
  5. Vittorio Grilli & Nouriel Roubini, 1995. "Liquidity and Exchange Rates: Puzzling Evidence from the G-7 Countries," Working Papers 95-17, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics.
  6. Soyoung Kim, 1998. "Identifying European Monetary Policy Interactions: French and Spanish System with German Variables," Banco de España Working Papers 9811, Banco de España.
  7. Cushman, David O. & Zha, Tao, 1997. "Identifying monetary policy in a small open economy under flexible exchange rates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 433-448, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  8. Fernando Barran & Virginie Coudert & Benoit Mojon, 1996. "The transmission of Monetary Policy in the European Countries," Working Papers 1996-03, CEPII research center. [Downloadable!]
  9. Bernanke, Ben S. & Mihov, Ilian, 1995. "Measuring Monetary Policy," Economics Series 10, Institute for Advanced Studies. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  10. Olivier Bontout & Sebastien Jean, 1998. "Wages And Unemployment : Trade-Off Under Different Labour Market Paradigms," Working Papers 1998-13, CEPII research center. [Downloadable!]
  11. Grilli, Vittorio & Roubini, Nouriel, 1996. "Liquidity models in open economies: Theory and empirical evidence," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(3-5), pages 847-859, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  12. Grilli, Vittorio & Roubini, Nouriel, 1992. "Liquidity and exchange rates," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(3-4), pages 339-352, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Strongin, Steven, 1995. "The identification of monetary policy disturbances explaining the liquidity puzzle," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 463-497, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Sims, Christopher A, 1998. "Comment on Glenn Rudebusch's "Do Measures of Monetary Policy in a VAR Make Sense?"," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 39(4), pages 933-41, November.
  15. Gordon, David B & Leeper, Eric M, 1994. "The Dynamic Impacts of Monetary Policy: An Exercise in Tentative Identification," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 102(6), pages 1228-47, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  16. Ben S. Bernanke & Ilian Mihov, 1996. "What Does the Bundesbank Target?," NBER Working Papers 5764, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  17. Christopher A. Sims & Tao A. Zha, 1998. "Does monetary policy generate recessions?," Working Paper 98-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. [Downloadable!]
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  18. Bernanke, Ben S & Blinder, Alan S, 1992. "The Federal Funds Rate and the Channels of Monetary Transmission," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 82(4), pages 901-21, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  19. Etsuro Shioji, 1997. "Spanish Monetary Policy: A Structural VAR Analysis," Economics Working Papers 215, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra. [Downloadable!]
  20. Christopher A. Sims, 1992. "Interpreting the Macroeconomic Time Series Facts: The Effects of Monetary Policy," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1011, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  21. Sims, Christopher A, 1972. "Money, Income, and Causality," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 62(4), pages 540-52, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Nicoletta Batini, 2002. "Euro area inflation persistence," Working Paper Series 201, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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