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Non-parametric counterfactual analysis in dynamic general equilibrium

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Author Info
Felix KUBLER (University of Zurich and Swiss Finance Institute)
Karl SCHMEDDERS (University of Zurich and Swiss Finance Institute)

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Abstract

In this paper we examine non-parametric restrictions on counterfactual analysis in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model. Under the assumption of time-separable expected utility and complete markets all equilibria in this model are stationary. The Arrow-Debreu prices uniquely reveal the probabilities and discount factor. The equilibrium correspondence, de¯ned as the map from endowments to stationary (probability-free) state prices, is identical to the equilibrium correspondence in a standard Arrow-Debreu exchange economy with additively separable utility. We examine possible restriction on this correspondence and give necessary as well as sufficient conditions on profiles of individual endowments that ensure that associated equilibrium prices cannot be arbitrary. Although restrictions on possible price changes often exist, we show that results from a representative-agent economy usually do not carry over to a setting with heterogeneous agents.

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Paper provided by Swiss Finance Institute in its series Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series with number 09-05.

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Length: 26 pages
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Handle: RePEc:chf:rpseri:rp0905

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Related research
Keywords: Dynamic general equilibrium; non-parametric analysis; observable restrictions;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
D50 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - General
G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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  1. Mas-Colell, Andreu, 1977. "On the equilibrium price set of an exchange economy," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 4(2), pages 117-126, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Kubler, Felix, 2003. "Observable restrictions of general equilibrium models with financial markets," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 110(1), pages 137-153, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Bewley, Truman F., 1972. "Existence of equilibria in economies with infinitely many commodities," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 4(3), pages 514-540, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Constantinides, George M, 1982. "Intertemporal Asset Pricing with Heterogeneous Consumers and without Demand Aggregation," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 55(2), pages 253-67, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Yves Balasko & Mich Tvede, . "Equilibrium Data Sets and Compatible Utility Rankings," Discussion Papers 05-23, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics, revised Nov 2005. [Downloadable!]
  6. Danthine, Jean-Pierre & Donaldson, John B. & Giannikos, Christos & Guirguis, Hany, 2004. "On the consequences of state dependent preferences for the pricing of financial assets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 1(3), pages 143-153, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Varian, Hal R, 1983. "Non-Parametric Tests of Consumer Behaviour," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(1), pages 99-110, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Angelo Melino & Alan X. Yang, 2003. "State Dependent Preferences Can Explain the Equity Premium Puzzle," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 6(4), pages 806-830, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. Lucas, Robert E, Jr, 1978. "Asset Prices in an Exchange Economy," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(6), pages 1429-45, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Brown, Donald J & Matzkin, Rosa L, 1996. "Testable Restrictions on the Equilibrium Manifold," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(6), pages 1249-62, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  11. Felix Kubler & Karl Schmedders, 2003. "Generic inefficiency of equilibria in the general equilibrium model with incomplete asset markets and infinite time," Economic Theory, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 1-15, 08. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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