Labour Shortages in SKilled Trades - The Best Guestimate?
AbstractThe aging population which is expected to change Canada’s demographic and a shift in modern educational preferences that often leaves skilled trades as an overlooked career option may increase the likelihood of labour shortages in skilled trades in Canada. The certainty of the existence of labour shortages is of a particular importance as an incorrect assessment may lead to a sub-optimal distribution of human capital and other resources. This paper aims to critically examine the presence of labour shortages in five prevailing skilled trades in five Canadian provinces over the past decade. The results of the analysis show that labour shortages are difficult to observe and measure directly, whereas the analysis is seriously limited by the availability of information on unemployment at the occupational level. Where sufficient data exists, labour shortages occurred rather sporadically and did not persist for more than one year at a time over the past decade. The age structure of skilled trades and labour mobility barriers are not likely to seriously influence labour shortages in trades. In turn, educational barriers may exist in skilled trades where growth in completion rates of apprenticeship training lags the growth in the number of registered apprentices.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Certified General Accountants Association of Canada in its series Working Papers with number 120702.
Length: 33 pages
Date of creation: Jul 2012
Date of revision:
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More information through EDIRC
skilled trades; labour shortages; carpenters; automotive service technicians; truck and bus mechanics; welders; machine operators; electricians; apprenticeship; telecommunications;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- J44 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - Professional Labor Markets and Occupations
- J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
- L60 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing - - - General
- M53 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting - - Personnel Economics - - - Training
- R10 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General
- C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Longitudinal Data; Spatial Time Series
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Andrew Sharpe & Jean-François Arsenault & Simon Lapointe, 2008. "Apprenticeship Issues and Challenges Facing Canadian Manufacturing Industries," CSLS Research Reports 2008-02, Centre for the Study of Living Standards.
- Laporte, Christine Mueller, Richard, 2011. "The Completion Behaviour of Registered Apprentices: Who Continues, Who Quits, and Who Completes Programs?," Analytical Studies Branch Research Paper Series 2011333e, Statistics Canada, Analytical Studies Branch.
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