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Multivariate Normal Mixture GARCH

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Author Info
Markus Haas (Institute of Statistics, University of Munich)
Stefan Mittnik (Institute of Statistics, University of Munich, Center for Financial Studies, Frankfurt, and Ifo Institute for Economic Research, Munich)
Marc S. Paolella (Swiss Banking Institute, University of Zurich)

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Abstract

We present a multivariate generalization of the mixed normal GARCH model proposed in Haas, Mittnik, and Paolella (2004a). Issues of parametrization and estimation are discussed. We derive conditions for covariance stationarity and the existence of the fourth moment, and provide expressions for the dynamic correlation structure of the process. These results are also applicable to the single-component multivariate GARCH(p, q) model and simplify the results existing in the literature. In an application to stock returns, we show that the disaggregation of the conditional (co)variance process generated by our model provides substantial intuition, and we highlight a number of findings with potential significance for portfolio selection and further financial applications, such as regime-dependent correlation structures and leverage effects.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Center for Financial Studies in its series CFS Working Paper Series with number 2006/09.

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Length: 46 pages
Date of creation: 20 Apr 2006
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Handle: RePEc:cfs:cfswop:wp200609

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Related research
Keywords: Conditional Volatility; Regime-dependent Correlations; Leverage Effect; Multivariate GARCH; Second-order Dependence;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

  1. L. Bauwens & C.S. Bos & H.K. van Dijk, 1999. "Adaptive Polar Sampling with an application to a Bayes measure of Value-at-Risk," Econometric Institute Report 167, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Pietro BALESTRA & Alberto HOLLY, 1990. "A General Kronecker Formula for the Moments of the Multivariate Normal Distribution," Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'Econométrie et d'Economie politique (DEEP) 9002, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, DEEP.
  3. Emese Lazar & Carol Alexander, 2006. "Normal mixture GARCH(1,1): applications to exchange rate modelling," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(3), pages 307-336. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Giorgio Canarella & Stephen M. Miller & Stephen K. Pollard, 2009. "Dynamic Stock Market Interactions between the Canadian, Mexican, and the United States Markets: The NAFTA Experience," Working Papers 0905, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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