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Labour Markets, Trade and Technological Progress. A Meta-Study

Author

Listed:
  • Nikolaos Terzidis
  • Steven Brakman
  • Raquel Ortega-Argiles

Abstract

Theoretical models, supported by empirical evidence, suggest that technological progress and trade are two essential factors to explain recent labor market developments in many OECD countries; technology can make jobs obsolete, and import competition can drive firms out of business. Both causes are often mentioned in tandem, but their relative contribution is unclear. This meta-analysis disentangles the interplay between technology and trade regarding recent labor market developments. Using a sample of some 623 technology and 1094 trade elasticities from 91 studies, our meta-analysis first reveals that despite small publication selection, technology and trade benefit both wages and employment in a statistically significant and economically meaningful way. Nevertheless, the multivariate meta-regression analysis indicates that this conclusion is conditional on several research dimensions. In the most prominent outcome, we document that the skill-bias impact from technology is concentrated on employment, where high-skilled workers benefit relatively more compared to low-skilled ones. In contrast, trade effects expand over both wages and employment, but mainly benefit high-skilled workers. Taken together, the current analysis sheds light into how globalization favors especially high-skilled workers in industrialized labor markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Nikolaos Terzidis & Steven Brakman & Raquel Ortega-Argiles, 2019. "Labour Markets, Trade and Technological Progress. A Meta-Study," CESifo Working Paper Series 7719, CESifo.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_7719
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    File URL: https://www.cesifo.org/DocDL/cesifo1_wp7719.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Steven Brakman & Charles van Marrewijk, 2022. "Tasks, occupations and slowbalisation: on the limits of fragmentation [Global value chains]," Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 15(2), pages 407-436.
    3. Jurkat, Anne & Klump, Rainer & Schneider, Florian, 2023. "Robots and Wages: A Meta-Analysis," EconStor Preprints 274156, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    labor market; trade; technological progress; meta-study;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F16 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Labor Market Interactions
    • J31 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

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