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Short-Term and Long-Term Growth Effects of Exchange Rate Adjustment

Author

Listed:
  • Evžen Kocenda
  • Mathilde Maurel
  • Gunther Schnabl

Abstract

The European sovereign debt crisis revived the discussion concerning the pros and cons of exchange rate adjustment in the face of asymmetric shocks. Exit from the euro area is to regain rapidly international competitiveness. Exchange rate stability with structural reforms could be beneficial for long-run growth. We augment the literature by analyzing short- and long-term growth effects of exchange rate flexibility in a panel-cointegration framework. Countries with a high degree of exchange rate stability exhibit lower short-term and higher long-term growth. The degree of business cycle synchronization with the anchor country matters for the impact of exchange rate flexibility on growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Evžen Kocenda & Mathilde Maurel & Gunther Schnabl, 2012. "Short-Term and Long-Term Growth Effects of Exchange Rate Adjustment," CESifo Working Paper Series 4018, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_4018
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    File URL: https://www.cesifo.org/DocDL/cesifo1_wp4018.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Crespo Cuaresma, Jesús & Fidrmuc, Jarko & Hake, Mariya, 2014. "Demand and supply drivers of foreign currency loans in CEECs: A meta-analysis," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 26-42.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    exchange rate adjustment; sterilization; European sovereign debt crisis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C54 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Quantitative Policy Modeling
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • N20 - Economic History - - Financial Markets and Institutions - - - General, International, or Comparative

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