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Monetary Policy Rules and Foreign Currency Positions

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  • Bianca De Paoli
  • Hande Küçük-Tuger
  • Jens Søndergaard

Abstract

Using an endogenous portfolio choice model, this paper examines how different monetary policy regimes can lead to different foreign currency positions by changing the cyclical properties of the nominal exchange rate. We find that strict inflation targeting regimes are associated with a short position in foreign currency, while the opposite is true for noninflation targeting regimes. We also explore how these different external positions affect the international transmission of monetary shocks through the valuation channel. When central banks follow inflation targeting Taylor-type rules, valuation effects of monetary expansions are beggar-thy-self, but they are beggar-thy-neighbour in a money growth targeting regime (or when monetary policy puts weight on output stabilization).

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Centre for Economic Performance, LSE in its series CEP Discussion Papers with number dp1022.

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Date of creation: Nov 2010
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Handle: RePEc:cep:cepdps:dp1022

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Web page: http://cep.lse.ac.uk/_new/publications/series.asp?prog=CEP

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Keywords: Portfolio choice; international transmission of shocks; monetary policy;

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  1. Corsetti, Giancarlo & Pesenti, Paolo & Roubini, Nouriel & Tille, Cedric, 2000. "Competitive devaluations: toward a welfare-based approach," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(1), pages 217-241, June.
  2. Coeurdacier, Nicolas & Kollmann, Robert & Martin, Philippe, 2008. "International Portfolios, Capital Accumulation and Foreign Assets Dynamics," CEPR Discussion Papers 6902, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  3. Jonathan Heathcote & Fabrizio Perri, 2007. "The international diversification puzzle is not as bad as you think," Staff Report 398, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
  4. Vincent Labhard & Gabriel Sterne & Chris Young, 2005. "Wealth and consumption: an assessment of the international evidence," Bank of England working papers 275, Bank of England.
  5. Nicolas Coeurdacier & Robert Kollmann & Philippe Martin, 2007. "International Portfolios with Supply, Demand and Redistributive Shocks," NBER Working Papers 13424, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  6. Bianca De Paoli, 2004. "Monetary policy and welfare in a small open economy," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 19950, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  7. Matthew Higgins & Thomas Klitgaard & Cédric Tille, 2006. "Borrowing without debt? Understanding the U.S. international investment position," Staff Reports 271, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  8. Astley, Mark & Giese, Julia & Hume, Michael & Kubelec, Chris, 2009. "Global imbalances and the financial crisis," Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, Bank of England, vol. 49(3), pages 178-190.
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Cited by:
  1. Michael B Devereux & Ozge Senay & Alan Sutherland, 2013. "Nominal Stability and Financial Globalization," CDMA Working Paper Series 201309, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis.
  2. Benigno, Gianluca & Küçük, Hande, 2012. "Portfolio Allocation and International Risk Sharing," CEPR Discussion Papers 8810, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

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