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Giant oilfields and civil conflict

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  • Yu-Hsiang Lei
  • Guy Michaels

Abstract

We use new data to examine the effects of giant oilfield discoveries around the world since 1946. On average, these discoveries increase per capita oil production and oil exports by up to 50 percent. But these giant oilfield discoveries also have a dark side: they increase the incidence of internal armed conflict by about 5-8 percentage points. This increased incidence of conflict due to giant oilfield discoveries is especially high for countries that had already experienced armed conflicts or coups in the decade prior to discovery.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Centre for Economic Performance, LSE in its series CentrePiece - The Magazine for Economic Performance with number 371.

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Date of creation: May 2012
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Handle: RePEc:cep:cepcnp:371

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Web page: http://cep.lse.ac.uk/centrepiece/

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Keywords: Natural resources; resource curse; petroleum; armed conflict; civil war;

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