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Relación entre volatilidad de tasas de crecimiento del producto y volatilidad en el precio del stock de capital y su impacto en el nivel de inversión agregada de la economía

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Author Info
José Pablo Dapena

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Abstract

La tradicional regla marshalliana de inversión (o abandono) cuando el valor del activo subyacente es mayor (o menor) al costo de la inversión se ve modificada cuando existen situaciones de incertidumbre e irreversibilidad, generando un componente de opción en dichas decisiones. Este componente se ve afectado por la volatilidad del activo subyacente, que a su vez puede encontrar en el agregado su origen en la volatilidad de la tasa de crecimiento de la economía. La evidencia de volatilidad afecta las decisiones de inversión en el agregado, y repercute en el proceso de formación de capital y por ende en las posibilidades de crecimiento a largo plazo. Se explora de manera cuantitativa la relación entre tasas de crecimiento del producto y volatilidad del precio del stock de capital.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Universidad del CEMA in its series CEMA Working Papers: Serie Documentos de Trabajo. with number 294.

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Date of creation: Jun 2005
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Handle: RePEc:cem:doctra:294

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Related research
Keywords: volatilidad; opciones reales; inversión; mercado de capitales.;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
G00 - Financial Economics - - General - - - General
G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Investment Policy
O16 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment

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References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Raddatz, Claudio, 2003. "Liquidity needs and vulnerability to financial udnerdevelopment," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3161, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Ricardo J. Caballero, 2000. "Macroeconomic Volatility in Latin America: A View and Three Case Studies," NBER Working Papers 7782, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Caballero, Ricardo J. & Krishnamurthy, Arvind, 2001. "International and domestic collateral constraints in a model of emerging market crises," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(3), pages 513-548, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Stiglitz, Joseph E & Weiss, Andrew, 1981. "Credit Rationing in Markets with Imperfect Information," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 71(3), pages 393-410, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Tobin, James, 1969. "A General Equilibrium Approach to Monetary Theory," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 1(1), pages 15-29, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-54, May-June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Ricardo Caballero & Arvind Krishnamurthy, 1998. "Emerging Market Crises: An Asset Markets Perspective," Working papers 98-18, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics.
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