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La inmigración y su efecto en las finanzas públicas andaluzas

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Author Info
José Ignacio García Pérez () (Centro de Estudios Andaluces)
Victoria Osuna Padilla () (Universidad Pablo de Olavide)
Guadalupe Valera Blanes () (Universidad Pablo de Olavide)

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Abstract

El objetivo de este trabajo es analizar el impacto que la entrada de inmigrantes tendrá sobre las cuentas de las Administraciones Públicas andaluzas y sobre la sostenibilidad a largo plazo de las actuales políticas de gasto público en Andalucía. Para ello, realizamos diferentes simulaciones utilizando la metodología de la Contabilidad Generacional. Los resultados, comparados con los obtenidos en Collado et al. (2004) para el conjunto de España, sugieren que, si bien el ratio de dependencia en la población andaluza muestra una tendencia menos dramática que en el caso español, el problema de sostenibilidad del Estado del Bienestar será mayor en esta región dada la previsible evolución de las finanzas públicas. En cuanto a la contribución de la inmigración para atenuar este problema, ésta será reducida debido al perfil de bajos ingresos del inmigrante medio, y tanto menor cuanto menor sea el grado de integración de los hijos de los inmigrantes.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Centro de Estudios Andaluces in its series Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces with number E2004/41.

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Length: 36 pages
Date of creation: 2004
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Handle: RePEc:cea:doctra:e2004_41

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Related research
Keywords: immigration; fiscal policy; generational accounting; regional economy.;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy
F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
H10 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - General
R10 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. M. Collado & Iñigo Iturbe-Ormaetxe & Guadalupe Valera, 2004. "Quantifying the Impact of Immigration on the Spanish Welfare State," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer, vol. 11(3), pages 335-353, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Ronald Lee & Timothy Miller, 2000. "Immigration, Social Security, and Broader Fiscal Impacts," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 90(2), pages 350-354, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Kjetil Storesletten, . "Sustaining Fiscal Policy Through Immigration," Homapage Papers _005, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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