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La inmigración y su efecto en las finanzas públicas andaluzas

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Abstract

El objetivo de este trabajo es analizar el impacto que la entrada de inmigrantes tendrá sobre las cuentas de las Administraciones Públicas andaluzas y sobre la sostenibilidad a largo plazo de las actuales políticas de gasto público en Andalucía. Para ello, realizamos diferentes simulaciones utilizando la metodología de la Contabilidad Generacional. Los resultados, comparados con los obtenidos en Collado et al. (2004) para el conjunto de España, sugieren que, si bien el ratio de dependencia en la población andaluza muestra una tendencia menos dramática que en el caso español, el problema de sostenibilidad del Estado del Bienestar será mayor en esta región dada la previsible evolución de las finanzas públicas. En cuanto a la contribución de la inmigración para atenuar este problema, ésta será reducida debido al perfil de bajos ingresos del inmigrante medio, y tanto menor cuanto menor sea el grado de integración de los hijos de los inmigrantes.

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File URL: http://public.centrodeestudiosandaluces.es/pdfs/E200441.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Centro de Estudios Andaluces in its series Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces with number E2004/41.

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Length: 36 pages
Date of creation: 2004
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:cea:doctra:e2004_41

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Keywords: immigration; fiscal policy; generational accounting; regional economy.;

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References

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  1. Storesletten, Kjetil, 1998. "Sustaining Fiscal Policy Through Immigration," Seminar Papers 664, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies.
  2. M. Dolores Collado & Iñigo Iturbe Ormaetxe & Guadalupe Valera, 2002. "Quantifying The Impact Of Immigration On The Spanish Welfare State," Working Papers. Serie AD 2002-04, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
  3. Timothy Miller & Ronald Lee, 2000. "Immigration, Social Security, and Broader Fiscal Impacts," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 90(2), pages 350-354, May.
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Cited by:
  1. Muñoz de Bustillo, Rafael & Antón, José-Ignacio, 2009. "Immigration and Social Benefits in a Mediterranean Welfare State: The Case of Spain," MPRA Paper 13849, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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