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Pautas cíclicas de la economía andaluza en el período 1984-2001: un análisis comparado

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Author Info
Javier J. Pérez () (Centro de Estudios Andaluces)
Jesús Rodríguez López () (Universidad Pablo de Olavide)
Teresa Leal () (Universidad de Huelva)

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Abstract

In this paper we characterize some cyclical patterns for the Andalusian economy, for the period 1984-2001. Our work is basically an empirical one. Our results show that the Andalusian economy is more volatile than Spain as a whole, although there exist an important degree of coherence between both economies. This result holds at the aggregate level and at the industry level. On average, GDP growth has been higher in Andalusia during expansions, although it has been lower during recessions. The relationship between the fluctuations of income and the fluctuations of the number of unemployed people is shown to be clearly negative, as the theory would predict, but the coefficient of the relation is lower in the case of Andalusia. Moreover, we find the relation not to be symmetric. For a given increase in production, unemployment gets reduced in a larger fraction than the increase that would present in recessions under the same, but negative, increase in production.

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Paper provided by Centro de Estudios Andaluces in its series Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces with number E2002/18.

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Length: 38 pages
Date of creation: 2002
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Handle: RePEc:cea:doctra:e2002_18

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Related research
Keywords: Business cycles Unemployment Asymmetries Regional Economics

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
R10 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General

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  1. Blanchard, Olivier Jean & Quah, Danny, 1989. "The Dynamic Effects of Aggregate Demand and Supply Disturbances," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 79(4), pages 655-73, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Fiorito, Riccardo & Kollintzas, Tryphon, 1994. "Stylized facts of business cycles in the G7 from a real business cycles perspective," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 235-269, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Richard Harris & Brian Silverstone, 2000. "Asymmetric Adjustment of Unemployment and Output in New Zealand: Rediscovering Okun's Law," Working Papers in Economics 00/02, University of Waikato, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  4. Garcia-Ferrer, Antonio & Bujosa-Brun, Marcos, 2000. "Forecasting OECD industrial turning points using unobserved components models with business survey data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 207-227. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Finn E. Kydland & Edward C. Prescott, 1990. "Business cycles: real facts and a monetary myth," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, issue Spr, pages 3-18. [Downloadable!]
  6. Javier J. Pérez & Jesús Rodríguez López & Carlos Usabiaga, 2002. "Análisis Dinámico de la Relación entre Ciclo Económico y Ciclo del Desempleo en Andalucía en Comparación con el Resto de España," Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces E2002/07, Centro de Estudios Andaluces. [Downloadable!]
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