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Repercussões setoriais e regionais da crise econômica de 2009 no Brasil: simulações em um modelo de equilíbrio geral computável de dinâmica recursiva

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Author Info

  • Edson Paulo Domingues

    (Cedeplar-UFMG)

  • Admir Antonio Betarelli Junior

    (Cedeplar-UFMG)

  • Aline Souza Magalhães

    (Cedeplar-UFMG)

  • Terciane Sabadini Carvalho

    (Cedeplar-UFMG)

  • Flaviane Souza Santiago

    (Cedeplar-UFMG)

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to analyze the effects of economic downturn with the crisis of 2009 on the Brazilian economy, especially on activity sectors and states. To get a consistent picture of these impacts, which takes into account economic macroeconomic indicators and sectoral data (exports and imports), a dynamic recursive computable general equilibrium model is used. The model´s results allow differentiating the regional and sectoral impacts according to local demand and exports, as well as the role of government spending in damping of crisis. Moreover, the impacts of some temporary reductions of IPI (equipments and cars) are analyzed.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais in its series Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG with number td390.

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Length: 32 pages
Date of creation: Aug 2010
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:cdp:texdis:td390

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Related research

Keywords: Financial crisis; economic sectors; general equilibrium; recursive dynamic;

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