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Estimation of the Long-run Average Relationship in Nonstationary Panel Time Series

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Yixiao Sun (University of California, San Diego)
Abstract

This paper proposes a new class of estimators of the long-run average relationship when there is no individual time series cointegration. Using panel data with large cross section (n) and time series dimensions (T), the estimators are based on the long-run average variance estimate using bandwidth equal to T. The new estimators include the panel pooled least squares estimators and the limiting cross sectional least squares estimator as special cases. It is shown that the new estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal under both the sequential limit, wherein T goes to infinity followed by n going to infinity, and the joint limit where T and n go to infinite simultaneously. The rate condition for the joint limit to hold is relaxed to the condition that sqrt(n)/T goes to infinity, which is less restrictive than the rate condition that n/T goes to infinity, as imposed by Phillips and Moon (1999). By taking powers of the Bartlett and Parzen kernels, this paper introduces two new classes of kernels, the sharp kernels and steep kernels, and shows that these new kernels deliver new estimators of the long-run average relationship that are more effcient than the existing ones. A simulation study supports the asymptotic results.

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Paper provided by Department of Economics, UC San Diego in its series University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series with number 2003-06.

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Date of creation: Apr 2003
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Handle: RePEc:cdl:ucsdec:2003-06

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  1. Newey, Whitney K & West, Kenneth D, 1987. "A Simple, Positive Semi-definite, Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(3), pages 703-08, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Andrews, Donald W K, 1991. "Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(3), pages 817-58, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Vogelsang, Timothy J., 2001. "Testing in GMM Models without Truncation," Working Papers 01-12, Cornell University, Center for Analytic Economics. [Downloadable!]
  4. Kiefer, Nicholas M. & Vogelsang, Timothy J., 2002. "Heteroskedasticity-Autocorrelation Robust Testing Using Bandwidth Equal To Sample Size," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(06), pages 1350-1366, December. [Downloadable!]
  5. Andrews, Donald W K & Monahan, J Christopher, 1992. "An Improved Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 60(4), pages 953-66, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Peter C.B. Phillips & Hyungsik R. Moon, 1999. "Linear Regression Limit Theory for Nonstationary Panel Data," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1222, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Peter C. B. Phillips & Yixiao Sun & Sainan Jin, 2003. "Consistent HAC Estimation and Robust Regression Testing Using Sharp Origin Kernels with No Truncation," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 2003-05, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Kao, Chihwa, 1999. "Spurious regression and residual-based tests for cointegration in panel data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 90(1), pages 1-44, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. White, Halbert, 1980. "A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(4), pages 817-38, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. Peter C.B. Phillips & Yixiao Sun & Sainan Jin, 2005. "Improved HAR Inference," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1513, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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