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Common Factors in Conditional Distributions

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Author Info
Clive Granger (University of California, San Diego)
Timo Teräsvirta (CREATES, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus and Stockholm School of Economics)
Andrew Patton (University of Oxford)

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Abstract

Dominant properties of various kinds can be defined for distributions including trends, strong seasonality, business cycles, and a persistent component. We say that in the joint distribution of X and Y, conditional on W has a common factor if W is a dominant component, but it does not appear in the copula, only in the conditional marginal distributions for X and Y. An application is discussed involving national income and consumption and a business cycle indicator. The results suggest that the marginals vary with the business cycle but not the copula.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Department of Economics, UC San Diego in its series University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series with number 2002-19.

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Date of creation: 01 Nov 2002
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Handle: RePEc:cdl:ucsdec:2002-19

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Related research
Keywords: common factors; seasonality; business cycles;

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Issler, Joao Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2001. "Common cycles and the importance of transitory shocks to macroeconomic aggregates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 449-475, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Andrew Patton, 2001. "Estimation of Copula Models for Time Series of Possibly Different Length," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 2001-17, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
  3. Hansen, Bruce E, 1994. "Autoregressive Conditional Density Estimation," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 35(3), pages 705-30, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Andrew J. Patton, 2001. "Modelling Time-Varying Exchange Rate Dependence Using the Conditional Copula," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 2001-09, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
  5. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Xiaohong Chen & Yanqin Fan, 2002. "Estimation of Copula-Based Semiparametric Time Series Models," Working Papers 0226, Department of Economics, Vanderbilt University, revised Oct 2004. [Downloadable!]
  2. Xiaohong Chen & Yanqin Fan & Victor Tsyrennifov, 2002. "Efficient Estimation of Semiparametric Multivariate Copula Models," Working Papers 0420, Department of Economics, Vanderbilt University, revised Sep 2004. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Manner, Hans, 2007. "Estimation and Model Selection of Copulas with an Application to Exchange Rates," Research Memoranda 056, Maastricht : METEOR, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization. [Downloadable!]
  4. Jesus Gonzalo & Jose Olmo, 2005. "Contagion Versus Flight To Quality In Financial Markets," Economics Working Papers we051810, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Economía. [Downloadable!]
  5. Manner, Hans & Candelon, Bertrand, 2007. "Testing for Asset Market Linkages: A new Approach based on Time-Varying Copulas," Research Memoranda 052, Maastricht : METEOR, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization. [Downloadable!]
  6. Yanqin Fan & Xiaohong Chen, 2004. "Estimation of Copula-Based Semiparametric Time Series Models," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 559, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
  7. Xiaohong Chen & Yanqin Fan, 2004. "Estimation and Model Selection of Semiparametric Copula-Based Multivariate Dynamic Models under Copula Misspecification," Working Papers 0419, Department of Economics, Vanderbilt University, revised Sep 2004. [Downloadable!]
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