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Occasional Structural Breaks and Long Memory

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Author Info
Clive Granger (University of California, San Diego)
Namwon Hyung (University of Seoul)

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Abstract

This paper shows that a linear process with breaks can mimic autocorrelations and other properties of I(d) processes, where d can be a fraction. Simulation results show that S&P 500 absolute stock returns are more likely to show the "long memory" property because of the presence of breaks in the series rather than an I(d) process.

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File URL: http://repositories.cdlib.org/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1194&context=ucsdecon
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Department of Economics, UC San Diego in its series University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series with number 1999-14.

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Date of creation: 01 Jun 1999
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Handle: RePEc:cdl:ucsdec:1999-14

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Related research
Keywords: occasional structural breaks; long memory; autocorrelation;

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Kim, In-Moo, 1997. "Detecting the number of structural breaks," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(2), pages 145-148, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Granger, Clive W. J. & Ding, Zhuanxin, 1996. "Varieties of long memory models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 73(1), pages 61-77, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. repec:cup:etheor:v:11:y:1995:i:4:p:736-49 is not listed on IDEAS
  4. Tobias Rydén & Timo Teräsvirta & Stefan Åsbrink, 1998. "Stylized facts of daily return series and the hidden Markov model," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(3), pages 217-244. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Bai, Jushan, 1998. "A Note On Spurious Break," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 14(05), pages 663-669, October. [Downloadable!]
  6. I.N. Lobato & N.E. Savin, 1996. "Real and Spurious Long Memory Properties of Stock Market Data," Econometrics 9605004, EconWPA, revised 26 Sep 1996. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Bai, Jushan, 1997. "Estimating Multiple Breaks One at a Time," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 13(03), pages 315-352, June. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Yao, Yi-Ching, 1988. "Estimating the number of change-points via Schwarz' criterion," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 6(3), pages 181-189, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Zhuanxin Ding & Clive Granger & Robert Engle, 1992. "A Long Memory Property of Stock Market Returns and a New Model," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 92-21, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
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  10. Granger, Clive W. J. & Terasvirta, Timo, 1999. "A simple nonlinear time series model with misleading linear properties," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(2), pages 161-165, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  11. Nunes, Luis C. & Kuan, Chung-Ming & Newbold, Paul, 1995. "Spurious Break," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 11(04), pages 736-749, August. [Downloadable!]
  12. Zhuanxin Ding & Clive W. J. Granger, 1995. "Some Properties of Absolute Return: An Alternative Measure of Risk," Annales d'Economie et de Statistique, ADRES, issue 40, pages 06, Octobre-D. [Downloadable!]
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  13. Aggarwal, Reena & Inclan, Carla & Leal, Ricardo, 1999. "Volatility in Emerging Stock Markets," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 34(01), pages 33-55, March. [Downloadable!]
  14. Clive W.J. Granger & Francesc Marmol, 1997. "The Correlogram of a Long Memory Process Plus a Simple Noise," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 97-29, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
  15. C. W.J. Granger & Zhuanxin Ding, 1994. "Stylized Facts on the Temporal and Distributional Properties of Daily Data from Speculative Markets," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 94-19, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
  16. repec:cup:etheor:v:13:y:1997:i:3:p:315-52 is not listed on IDEAS
  17. Jushan Bai & Pierre Perron, 1998. "Estimating and Testing Linear Models with Multiple Structural Changes," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 66(1), pages 47-78, January.
    Other versions:
  18. Robert F. Engle & Aaron D. Smith, 1999. "Stochastic Permanent Breaks," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 81(4), pages 553-574, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-17.

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