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Foreign Capital, Inflation, Sterilization, Crowding-Out and Growth: Some Illustrative Models

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Author Info
Nirvikar Singh (University of California, Santa Cruz)
T. Srinivasan (Yale University: Dept. of Economics and Economic Growth Center)

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Abstract

This paper discusses some puzzles in the contemporary macroeconomic scene in India, from the perspective of public finance and economic development. These include a fiscal deficit higher than it was during the 1991 crisis, but without a large current account deficit or rise in inflation or interest rates, a rising inflow of external capital, accompanied by the RBI's sterilizing these inflows and accumulating large reserves, even in the face of low inflation. We offer a critique of some previous analyses, and some models that are suggestive of how real and monetary factors might be integrated in providing a firmer grounding for the policy debates current in India.

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File URL: http://repositories.cdlib.org/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1013&context=ucscecon
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Paper provided by Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz in its series Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series with number 1013.

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Date of creation: 01 May 2004
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Handle: RePEc:cdl:ucscec:1013

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Keywords: foreign capital; sterilization; absorption; crowding out; inflation; growth;

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Nirvikar Singh & T. Srinivasan, 2004. "Fiscal Policy in India: Lessons and Priorities," Santa Cruz Center for International Economics, Working Paper Series 1020, Center for International Economics, UC Santa Cruz. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Craig Burnside & Martin Eichenbaum & Sergio Rebelo, 2001. "Prospective Deficits and the Asian Currency Crisis," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 109(6), pages 1155-1197, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Deepak Lal, 2002. "Financial Exuberace: Savings Deposits, Fiscal Deficits and Interest Rates In India," UCLA Economics Working Papers 821, UCLA Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  1. Nirvikar Singh & T. Srinivasan, 2004. "Fiscal Policy in India: Lessons and Priorities," Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series 1022, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Buiter, Willem H & Patel, Urjit R., 2006. "India's Public Finances: Excessive Budget Deficits, a Government-Abused Financial System and Fiscal Rules," CEPR Discussion Papers 5502, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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