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Order Flow Patterns around Seasoned Equity Offerings and their Implications for Stock Price Movements

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Author Info
Sahn-Wook Huh (UCLA Anderson Graduate School of Management)
Avanidhar Subrahmanyam (Anderson School of Management)
Abstract

In this study, we employ order imbalance measures to provide evidence that there exists an individual/institutional dichotomy in reactions to seasoned equity offerings (SEOs). The evidence supports the notion that small, possibly naıve, individual investors keep trading SEO stocks aggressively while the returns of these stocks reverse in the post-issue period. Investors appear to be tardy in adjusting their overoptimism, and their trades systematically lag the return response. It appears to take more than two years for small individual investors to adequately revise their overoptimistic views. Consequently, the SEO portfolios that individual investors buy on net strongly underperform relative to the size-matching nonissuer portfolios as well as to the SEO portfolios that institutional investors buy on net in the post-issue period.

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Paper provided by Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA in its series University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management with number 1253.

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Date of creation: 18 Mar 2004
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Handle: RePEc:cdl:anderf:1253

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  1. Martin Evans & Richard Lyons, 1999. "Order Flow and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Research Program in Finance, Working Paper Series 1007, Research Program in Finance, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley. [Downloadable!]
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  2. John M. Griffin & Jeffrey H. Harris & Selim Topaloglu, 2003. "Investor Behavior over the Rise and Fall of Nasdaq," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm431, Yale School of Management. [Downloadable!]
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  1. Riccardo Ferretti & Francesco Pattarin, 2008. "Is public information really public? The role of newspapers," Centro Studi di Banca e Finanza (CEFIN) (Center for Studies in Banking and Finance) 08013, Universita di Modena e Reggio Emilia, Facoltà di Economia "Marco Biagi". [Downloadable!]
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