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Bayesian Learning and the Regulation of Greenhouse Gas Emissions

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Author Info
Larry Karp (University of California, Berkeley and Giannini Foundation)
Jiangfeng Zhang (University of California, Berkeley)

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Abstract

We study the importance of anticipated learning - about both environmental damages and abatement costs - in determining the level and the method of controlling greenhouse gas emissions. We also compare active learning, passive learning, and parameter uncertainty without learning. Current beliefs about damages and abatement costs have an important effect on the optimal level of emissions, However, the optimal level of emissions is not sensitive either to the possibility of learning about damages. or to the type of learning (active or passive), Taxes dominate quotas, but by a small margin.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley in its series Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley, Working Paper Series with number 926.

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Date of creation: 01 Aug 2001
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Handle: RePEc:cdl:agrebk:926

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Related research
Keywords: Climate change; Uncertainty; Bayesian learning; Asymmetric information; Choice of instruments; Dynamic optimization;

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  1. Michael Hoel & Larry Karp, 2001. "Taxes versus Quotas for a Stock Pollutant," Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley, Working Paper Series 855, Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley. [Downloadable!]
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