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A Dynamic Child Survival Function: Natural Convergence and Economic Policy

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  • Christopher GRIGORIOU

    (Centre d'Etudes et de Recherches sur le Développement International(CERDI))

  • Patrick GUILLAUMONT

    (Centre d'Etudes et de Recherches sur le Développement International(CERDI))

Abstract

Convergence has been much less studied with regards to human development than it has been done in economic growth models. However, since the evolution of human development indicators is bounded, the analyse of their convergence may be importantly biased. This paper investigates the question of child survival convergence, attempting to identify the most relevant dynamic survival function, taking into account the characteristics of any bounded indicator. This function enables us to assess the impact of economic factors on child survival, and in particular that of relative prices. The econometric analysis relies on a dynamic panel with 5-years periods, covering 1965-1999 for 100 countries. The method used, namely the GMM System, enables us to test a dynamic model while controlling for the heterogeneity of the sample. We do not reject the assumption that that beside its effect through the level of income, real depreciation of the currency may lead to a deterioration of child survival in poor countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Christopher GRIGORIOU & Patrick GUILLAUMONT, 2003. "A Dynamic Child Survival Function: Natural Convergence and Economic Policy," Working Papers 200333, CERDI.
    • Handle: RePEc:cdi:wpaper:465
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    Cited by:

    1. Patrick Guillaumont, 2011. "EVI and its Use. Design of an Economic Vulnerability Index and its Use for International Development Policy," CERDI Working papers halshs-00557091, HAL.
    2. Julie Subervie & Patrick Guillaumont & Catherine Korachais, 2006. "How Macroeconomic Instability Lowers Child Survival," Post-Print hal-00221458, HAL.
    3. Patrick Guillaumont, 2010. "Assessing the Economic Vulnerability of Small Island Developing States and the Least Developed Countries," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(5), pages 828-854.
    4. Christopher GRIGORIOU & Grégoire ROTA-GRAZIOSI, 2005. "Why do Education Expenditures Fail to Reduce Child Labor? Looking for an Optimal Composition of the Social Expenditures," Working Papers 200517, CERDI.
    5. Patrick GUILLAUMONT, 2007. "EVI and its Use. Design of an Economic Vulnerability Index and its Use for International Development Policy," Working Papers 200714, CERDI.
    6. Patrick Guillaumont, 2010. "Assessing the Economic Vulnerability of Small Island Developing States and Least Developed Countries," Post-Print hal-00594797, HAL.
    7. Ali, Amjad & Bibi, Chan, 2016. "Determinants of Social Progress and its Scenarios under the role of Macroeconomic Instability: Empirics from Pakistan," MPRA Paper 72920, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Grigoriou, Christopher & Guillaumont, Patrick & Yang, Wenyan, 2005. "Child mortality under Chinese reforms," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 441-464.

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