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Ouverture sur l'extérieur et instabilité des taux de croissance

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Author Info
Jean-Louis COMBES () (Centre d'Etudes et de Recherches sur le Développement International)
Patrick GUILLAUMONT () (Centre d'Etudes et de Recherches sur le Développement International)
Sylviane GUILLAUMONT JEANNENEY () (Centre d'Etudes et de Recherches sur le Développement International)
Pascale COMBES MOTEL () (Centre d'Etudes et de Recherches sur le Développement International)

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Abstract

This paper considers the effects of a more or less trade and capital openness on the instability of the growth rate. Indicators of outward looking policies are estimated by eliminating the impact of structural factors through a standardization equation. Then indicators of growth instability are estimated. Open trade policies are assumed to be stabilizing because they improve the working of markets. But open financial policies, when the financial system is underdeveloped, may increase instability due to speculative capital flows. Econometric analysis relying on a large sample of developed and developing countries for three periods beginning in 1970 allows to not reject these assumptions.

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File URL: http://publi.cerdi.org/ed/1999/1999.27.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by CERDI in its series Working Papers with number 199927.

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Length: 29
Date of creation: 1999
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:cdi:wpaper:126

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Related research
Keywords: instabilité; de la croissance; instabilité; macro-é; conomique; mondialisation; ouverture é; conomique; straté; gies de dé; veloppement.;

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  1. Jean-Louis Combes & Tahsin Saadi-Sedik, 2006. "How does trade openness influence budget deficits in developing countries?," The Journal of Development Studies, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 42(8), pages 1401-1416, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Patrick GUILLAUMONT & Jean-Louis COMBES, 2000. "Volatilité des prix des produits primaires, vulnérabilité et développement," Working Papers 200014, CERDI. [Downloadable!]
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