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Taux de change réel et compétitivité de l’économie réunionnaise

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Author Info

  • Michaël GOUJON

    ()
    (Centre d'Etudes et de Recherches sur le Développement International)

  • Fabien CANDAU
  • Jean-François HOARAU
  • Serge REY

Abstract

L’île de La Réunion, région française ultrapériphérique, se caractérise par des performances économiques généralement en deçà de celles de la métropole, mais aussi de celles de partenaires commerciaux qui partagent nombre de caractéristiques communes. Le très fort déficit de la balance commerciale réunionnaise en est un des révélateurs. Ceci nous conduit à étudier la compétitivité-prix de La Réunion grâce au calcul et à l’examen des propriétés statistiques de l’indicateur de taux de change effectif réel. Il ressort que ce taux est stationnaire autour d’une tendance et qu’il ne révèle pas de phénomène de surévaluation significatif. Par conséquent les piètres performances en matière de commerce extérieur ne peuvent être mises sur le compte d’un euro qui serait « trop fort », mais doivent conduirent les décideurs à réfléchir sur les causes structurelles d’un modèle économique peu performant.

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File URL: http://publi.cerdi.org/ed/2010/2010.29.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by CERDI in its series Working Papers with number 201029.

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Length: 29
Date of creation: 2010
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:cdi:wpaper:1206

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Keywords: taux de change réel; Stationnarité; racine unitaire; la reunion;

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