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A Test of Perpetual R&D Races

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Author Info
Yves Breitmoser (Institute of Microeconomics, European University Viadrina)
Jonathan H. W. Tan (Institute of Microeconomics, European University Viadrina)
Daniel John Zizzo () (Centre for Competition Policy, University of East Anglia)

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Abstract

This paper presents an experimental study of dynamic indefinite horizon R and D races with uncertainty and multiple prizes. The theoretical predictions are highly sensitive: small parameter changes determine whether technological competition is sustained, or converges into a market structure with an entrenched leadership and lower aggregate R&D. The subjects' strategies are far less sensitive. In most treatments the R&D races tend to converge to entrenched leadership. Investment is highest when rivals are close. This stylized fact, and so the usefulness of neck-to-neck competition in general, is largely unrelated to rivalry concerns but can be explained using a quantal response extension of Markov perfection.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Centre for Competition Policy, University of East Anglia in its series Working Papers with number 06-11.

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Length: 34 pages
Date of creation: Jun 2006
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Handle: RePEc:ccp:wpaper:wp06-11

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Related research
Keywords: R&D race; innovation; dynamics; experiment;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C72 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Noncooperative Games
C91 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Laboratory, Individual Behavior
O31 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Technological Change - - - Innovation and Invention: Processes and Incentives

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Cockburn, Iain & Henderson, Rebecca, 1994. "Racing to Invest? The Dynamics of Competition in Ethical Drug Discovery," Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 3(3), pages 481-519, Fall.
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  2. Gilbert, Richard J & Newbery, David M G, 1982. "Preemptive Patenting and the Persistence of Monopoly," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 72(3), pages 514-26, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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