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Measuring Precision of Statistical Inference on Partially Identified Parameters

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Author Info
Aleksey Tetenov

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Abstract

Planners of surveys and experiments that partially identify parameters of interest face trade offs between using limited resources to reduce sampling error or to reduce the extent of partial identification. Researchers who previously attempted evaluating these trade offs used the length of confidence intervals for the identification region to measure the precision of inference. I show that other reasonable measures of statistical precision yield qualitatively different conclusions, often implying higher value to reducing the extent of partial identification. I consider three alternative measures - maximum mean squared error, maximum mean absolute deviation, and maximum regret (applicable when the purpose of estimation is binary treatment choice). I analytically derive and compare estimation precision and tradeoffs implied by these measures in a simple statistical problem with normally distributed sample data and interval partial identification.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Collegio Carlo Alberto in its series Carlo Alberto Notebooks with number 98.

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Length: 25 pages
Date of creation: 2008
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Handle: RePEc:cca:wpaper:98

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Related research
Keywords: partial identification; statistical treatment choice; mean absolute error; mean squared error; minimax regret; survey planning;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
C44 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Statistical Decision Theory; Operations Research
C83 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Survey Methods; Sampling Methods

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This page was last updated on 2009-12-10.


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