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Indexed Sovereign Debt: An Applied Framework

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  • Guido Sandleris
  • Horacio Sapriza
  • Filippo Taddei

Abstract

In recent years, some countries have issued sovereign bonds indexed to real variables such as GDP. Moreover, there has been discussions about this issue during the European crisis. This paper analyzes the effects of introducing this type of contracts in a standard DSGE model with sovereign default risk. We solved the model numerically calibrating it to the Argentine economy and show that the introduction of GDP-indexed sovereign debt contracts reduces the probability of default and makes the government willing to hold non-contingent assets and issue real-indexed bonds at the same time. The magnitude of the welfare effect that this type of instruments could generate is equivalent to an increase of approximately half a percentage point per year in certainty equivalent aggregate consumption.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Collegio Carlo Alberto in its series Carlo Alberto Notebooks with number 104.

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Length: 28 pages
Date of creation: 2008
Date of revision: 2011
Handle: RePEc:cca:wpaper:104

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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez, 2012. "Debt dilution and sovereign default risk," Working Paper 10-08, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
  2. Barr, David & Bush, Oliver & Pienkowski, Alex, 2014. "GDP-linked bonds and sovereign default," Bank of England working papers 484, Bank of England.
  3. Johannes Holler, 2013. "Funding Strategies of Sovereign Debt Management: A Risk Focus," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 2, pages 51–74.
  4. Hans J. Blommestein, 2013. "Forces Shaping the OECD Sovereign Borrowing Outlook with Emphasis on the Challenges for European Sovereign Issuers," Chapters in SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum.
  5. Guido Sandleris & Mark L.J. Wright, 2013. "GDP-Indexed Bonds: A Tool to Reduce Macroeconomic Risk?," Chapters in SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum.
  6. Alessandro Missale, 2013. "The Future of Sovereign Borrowing in Europe," Chapters in SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum.
    • Morten Balling & Ernest Gnan & Johannes Holler & Ulrich Bindseil & Nicolas Sauter & Hans J. Blommestein & Maria Cannata & Juha Kilponen & Alessandro Missale & Ewald Nowotny & Guido Sandleris & Mark L., 2013. "The Future of Sovereign Borrowing in Europe," SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum, number 2013/5 edited by Morten Balling & Ernest Gnan & Johannes Holler.
  7. repec:fip:fedreq:y:2012:i:2q:p:139-157:n:vol.98no.2 is not listed on IDEAS
  8. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez & Francisco Roch, 2012. "Fiscal rules and the sovereign default premium," Working Paper 12-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
  9. Morten Balling & Ernest Gnan & Johannes Holler, 2013. "Introduction and Key Findings," Chapters in SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum.
  10. Maria Cannata, 2013. "Risk Management of a Public Debt Portfolio: The Italian Experience," Chapters in SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum.
  11. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez, 2012. "On the benefits of GDP-indexed government debt: lessons from a model of sovereign defaults," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue 2Q, pages 139-157.
  12. Daniel A. Dias & Christine J. Richmond & Mark L.J. Wright, 2011. "The Stock of External Sovereign Debt: Can We Take the Data At ‘Face Value’?," NBER Working Papers 17551, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  13. Ewald Nowotny, 2013. "Opening Address SUERF/OeNB/BWG Conference on ‘The Future of Sovereign Borrowing in Europe’," Chapters in SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum.
  14. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Cesar Sosa-Padilla & Leonardo Martinez, 2010. "Debt dilution, overborrowing, and sovereign default risk," 2010 Meeting Papers 481, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  15. Juha Kilponen, 2013. "European Debt Crisis and Crisis Resolution Policies," Chapters in SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum.
  16. Ulrich Bindseil, 2013. "The Role of Sovereign Debt in Monetary Policy Implementation – An International Comparative Perspective," Chapters in SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum.
  17. repec:udt:wpbsdt:nombre_del_archivo is not listed on IDEAS

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