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The Political Economy of Full Employment in Modern Britain

Author

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  • Robert Rowthorn

Abstract

This paper examines the regional aspects of structural change and unemployment in the UK. Manufacturing decline has severely hit the industrial conurbations of the North. Although reflecting long-run trends, this decline has been exacerbated by poor macroeconomic management. New service jobs have been created but most of these are in the South. This growing North-South divide is reflected in a southward drift of population. The extent of the northern decline is masked by government expenditures that help to maintain employment in depressed areas. But this is only a temporary solution. As population drifts away from the depressed areas, public expenditures will eventually be cut, causing further loss of employment and population in these areas. Using a simple export base model, the paper quantifies the underlying decline of the northern economy. In relative terms, this decline has been almost as fast in the 1990s as in the previous decade of industrial crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert Rowthorn, 2000. "The Political Economy of Full Employment in Modern Britain," Working Papers wp164, Centre for Business Research, University of Cambridge.
    • Handle: RePEc:cbr:cbrwps:wp164
    Note: PRO-1
    as

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    File URL: https://www.jbs.cam.ac.uk/cbrwp164/
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Gavin Cameron & John Muellbauer & Jonathan Snicker, 2002. "A Study in Structural Change: Relative Earnings in Wales Since the 1970s," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(1), pages 1-11.
    2. Nick Bailey & Ivan Turok, 2000. "Adjustment to Job Loss in Britain's Major Cities," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(7), pages 631-653, October.
    3. Gary Slater, 2002. "The Poverty of Flexibility," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(2), pages 243-251.
    4. R J R Elliott & J Lindley, 2003. "Trade, Skills and Adjustment Costs: A Study of Intra-Sectoral Labour Mobility in the UK," Economics Discussion Paper Series 0312, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    5. David Webster, 2006. "Welfare Reform: Facing up to the Geography of Worklessness," Local Economy, London South Bank University, vol. 21(2), pages 107-116, May.
    6. Stephen Dunn, 2006. "Prolegomena to a Post Keynesian health economics," Review of Social Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 64(3), pages 273-299.
    7. Wendy Carlin, 2011. "Good Institutions are not Enough: Ongoing Challenges of Eastern German Development," ifo DICE Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 9(1), pages 28-34, 05.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Unemployment; Structural Change; Migration; Regions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J60 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - General
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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