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Employment and Inflation Responses to an Exchange Rate Shock in a Calibrated Model

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Author Info
Bermingham, Colin (Central Bank and Financial Services Authority of Ireland)
Abstract

Ireland has no ability to affect the exchange rate through interest rates since the adoption of the euro. This paper provides a theoretically transparent method for analysing the impact of an exchange rate shock on employment and inflation in this context. The split between the tradable and non-tradable sectors of the economy is highlighted. A small, calibrated model adapted from Barry (1997) is used in the paper. The equations in this paper are derived under less restrictive assumptions making the results more widely applicable. The parameters of the model can be changed easily to reflect the structure of the economy and to conduct scenario analyses. A practical application is provided using a specific calibration and set of assumptions and the sensitivity of the results to the calibrated parameters and assumptions is discussed.

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File URL: http://www.centralbank.ie/data/TechPaperFiles/2RT05.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Central Bank & Financial Services Authority of Ireland (CBFSAI) in its series Research Technical Papers with number 2/RT/05.

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Length: 30 pages
Date of creation: Apr 2005
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:cbi:wpaper:2/rt/05

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E10 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - General

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  1. Devereux, Michael B. & Engel, Charles, 2002. "Exchange rate pass-through, exchange rate volatility, and exchange rate disconnect," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(5), pages 913-940, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Eleanor Doyle, 2004. "Exchange rate pass-through in a small open economy: the Anglo-Irish case," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 36(5), pages 443-455, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Amit Kara & Edward Nelson, 2002. "The Exchange Rate and Inflation in the UK," Discussion Papers 11, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England. [Downloadable!]
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