Selection on the basis of prior testing
AbstractWe establish that under mild conditions, testing for the individual significance of an impulse indicator in the conditional model, selected on the basis of prior testing of its significance in the impulse saturated marginal model does not require bootstrapping critical values. Extensive Monte Carlo evidence shows that the real size of a joint F test in the conditional on the block of dummies retained from the marginal is independent of nominal size used for impulse saturation used in the marginal model. The findings are shown to hold for a plethora of dynamic models and sample sizes. Such results are fundamental not only in model selection theory, but also for the emerging class of automatically computable super exogeneity tests.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Faculdade de Economia e Gestão, Universidade Católica Portuguesa (Porto) in its series Working Papers de Economia (Economics Working Papers) with number 062008.
Length: 16 pages
Date of creation: Sep 2008
Date of revision:
model selection; impulse saturation; super exogeneity; bootstrapping;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models &bull Diffusion Processes
- C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
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