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Primary Education in India: Prospects of meeting the MDG Target

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  • Sonia Bhalotra
  • Bernarda Zamora

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Abstract

This paper uses two large repeated cross-sections, one for the early 1990’s, and one for the late 1990’s, to describe growth in school enrolment and completion rates for boys and girls in India, and to explore the extent to which enrolment and completion rates have grown over time. It decomposes this growth into components due to change in the characteristics that determine schooling, and another associated with changes in the responsiveness of schooling to given characteristics. Our results caution against the common practice of using current data to make future projections on the assumption that the model parameters are stable. The analysis nevertheless performs illustrative simulations relevant to the question of whether India will be able to achieve the Millennium Development Goal of realising universal primary education by the year 2015. The simulations suggest that India will achieve universal attendance, but that primary school completion rates will not exhibit much progress.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Department of Economics, University of Bristol, UK in its series The Centre for Market and Public Organisation with number 08/190.

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Length: 16 pages
Date of creation: Jan 2008
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:bri:cmpowp:08/190

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Keywords: Millennium Development Goals; primary schooling; attendance; completion rates; gender; India; decomposition;

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  1. Bhalotra, S. & Soest, A.H.O. van, 2005. "Birth Spacing and Neonatal Mortality in India: Dynamics, Frailty and Fecundity," Discussion Paper, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research 2005-6, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
  2. Yun, Myeong-Su, 2004. "Decomposing differences in the first moment," Economics Letters, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 82(2), pages 275-280, February.
  3. Gary S. Becker & Nigel Tomes, . "Human Capital and the Rise and Fall of Families," University of Chicago - Population Research Center, Chicago - Population Research Center 84-10, Chicago - Population Research Center.
  4. Arnaud Chevalier, 2004. "Parental Education and Child’s Education - A Natural Experiment," Working Papers, School Of Economics, University College Dublin 200414, School Of Economics, University College Dublin.
  5. Rosenzweig, Mark R, 1995. "Why Are There Returns to Schooling?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, American Economic Association, vol. 85(2), pages 153-58, May.
  6. Blundell, Richard William & Ham, John & Meghir, Costas, 1987. "Unemployment and Female Labour Supply," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 149, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  7. Harold Alderman & John Hoddinott & Bill Kinsey, 2006. "Long term consequences of early childhood malnutrition," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 58(3), pages 450-474, July.
  8. Besley, Timothy J. & Burgess, Robin, 2001. "The Political Economy of Government Responsiveness: Theory and Evidence from India," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 2721, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  9. Jacoby, Hanan G & Skoufias, Emmanuel, 1997. "Risk, Financial Markets, and Human Capital in a Developing Country," Review of Economic Studies, Wiley Blackwell, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 64(3), pages 311-35, July.
  10. Banerjee, Abhijit V., 2004. "Educational policy and the economics of the family," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 74(1), pages 3-32, June.
  11. Behrman, Jere R & Knowles, James C, 1999. "Household Income and Child Schooling in Vietnam," World Bank Economic Review, World Bank Group, World Bank Group, vol. 13(2), pages 211-56, May.
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Cited by:
  1. Mohammed Niaz Asadullah & Uma Kambhampati & Florencia López Bóo, 2009. "Social Divisions in School Participation and Attainment in India: 1983-2004," IDB Publications 6774, Inter-American Development Bank.

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