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Reconciliation with the Utility of Chance by Elaborated Outcomes Destroys the Axiomatic Basis of Expected Utility Theory

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Author Info
Pope, Robin
Abstract

Expected utility theory does not directly deal with the utility of chance. It has been suggested in the literature (Samuelson 1952, Markowitz 1959) that this can be remedied by an approach which explicitly models the emotional consequences which give rise to the utility of chance. We refer to this as the elaborated outcomes approach. It is argued that the elaborated outcomes approach destroys the possibility of deriving a representation theorem based on the usual axioms of expected utility theory. This is shown with the help of an example due to Markowitz. It turns out that the space of conceivable lotteries over elaborated outcomes is too narrow to permit the application of the axioms. Moreover it is shown that a representation theorem does not hold for the example.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Bonn, Germany in its series Discussion Paper Serie B with number 449.

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Length: pages
Date of creation: Feb 1999
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Handle: RePEc:bon:bonsfb:449

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Postal: Bonn Graduate School of Economics, University of Bonn, Adenauerallee 24 - 26, 53113 Bonn, Germany
Fax: +49 228 73 9221
Web page: http://www.bgse.uni-bonn.de/index.php?id=517

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Related research
Keywords: Utility of chance elaborated outcomes axiomatised expected utility theory representation theorem

Find related papers by JEL classification:
D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty

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