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Optimal Dynamic Choice of Durable and Perishable Goods

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Author Info
Peter Bank
Frank Riedel

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Abstract

We analyze the life cycle consumption choice model for multiple goods, focusing on the distinction between durables and perishables. As an approximation of the fact that rather high transaction costs and market imperfections prevail in markets for used durables, we assume that investment in durables is irreversible. In contrast to the additive model with one perishable good, the optimal consumption plan is not myopic. Instead, it depends on past as well as on (expected) future prices. The optimal stock level of the durable good is obtained by tracking a certain \emph{shadow level}: The household purchases just enough durables to keep the stock always above this shadow level. It is shown that this shadow level is given by a backward integral equation that replaces the Euler equation. For the perishable good, the `usual' Euler equation determines the optimal choice in terms of the optimal stock of durables. Since the optimal stock level aggregates past as well as future prices, the consumption of perishables ceases to be myopic as well. The solutions show that durables play an important part in intertemporal consumption decisions. In fact, major purchases of durables are being made early in life, whereas no durables are bought in the retirement years. Through substitution and complementarity effects, this has a significant impact on the consumption of perishable goods. On the technical side, the paper provides a new approach to singular control problems that might be widely applicable in other contexts like irreversible investment, price rigidities etc. We present a numerical algorithm that allows one to calculate the shadow level for arbitrary period utility functions and time horizons. Explicit solutions are given for the case of a homogeneous Markov setup with infinite time horizon and Cobb--Douglas type period utilities. This setup includes prices driven by Brownian motion and/or Poisson processes.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Bonn, Germany in its series Bonn Econ Discussion Papers with number bgse29_2003.

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Length: 36
Date of creation: Dec 2003
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Handle: RePEc:bon:bonedp:bgse29_2003

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Postal: Bonn Graduate School of Economics, University of Bonn, Adenauerallee 24 - 26, 53113 Bonn, Germany
Fax: +49 228 73 9221
Web page: http://www.bgse.uni-bonn.de/index.php?id=494

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Related research
Keywords: Intertemporal Consumption Choice; Durable Goods; Irreversible Investment; Singular Control;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
D91 - Microeconomics - - Intertemporal Choice and Growth - - - Intertemporal Consumer Choice; Life Cycle Models and Saving
E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Capital; Investment; Capacity

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References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Hindy, Ayman & Huang, Chi-fu, 1993. "Optimal Consumption and Portfolio Rules with Durability and Local Substitution," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(1), pages 85-121, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Mankiw, N. Gregory, 1982. "Hall's consumption hypothesis and durable goods," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 10(3), pages 417-425. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. R. C. Merton, 1970. "Optimum Consumption and Portfolio Rules in a Continuous-time Model," Working papers 58, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics.
    Other versions:
  4. Akerlof, George A, 1970. "The Market for 'Lemons': Quality Uncertainty and the Market Mechanism," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 84(3), pages 488-500, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Bank, Peter & Riedel, Frank, 2000. "Non-time additive utility optimization--the case of certainty," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 271-290, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Hindy, Ayman & Huang, Chi-fu & Kreps, David, 1992. "On intertemporal preferences in continuous time : The case of certainty," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(5), pages 401-440. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Cuoco, Domenico & Liu, Hong, 2000. "Optimal consumption of a divisible durable good," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 561-613, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Harry Mamaysky, 2001. "Interest Rates and the Durability of Consumption Goods," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm224, Yale School of Management. [Downloadable!]
  9. Grossman, Sanford J & Laroque, Guy, 1990. "Asset Pricing and Optimal Portfolio Choice in the Presence of Illiquid Durable Consumption Goods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 58(1), pages 25-51, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  10. P. Bank & N. El Karoui, . "A Stochastic Representation Theorem with Applications to Optimization and Obstacle Problems," Sonderforschungsbereich 373 2002-4, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
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