Exchange rates and prices in the Netherlands and Britain over the past four centuries
AbstractThis paper examines exchange-rate and price-level data for the long period 1590-2009 for the Netherlands and the United Kingdom (earlier the Dutch Republic and England), countries that at various times over this near four century span have differed substantially in terms of the pace at which their economies were developing, have operated under a variety of exchange rate regimes, and have been subjected to an extremely wide variety of real shocks. The principal conclusion of this study is the resiliency of the simple purchasing-power-parity model and of the law of one price at the microeconomic level. Both take some heavy blows during this close to four-century long sample period. In the end, however, they emerge surprisingly unscathed. Real factors at times appear to have had substantial effects on real exchange rates and hence PPP, but such effects ultimately dissipate. As a long-run equilibrium condition, PPP holds up remarkably well.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Bank of Greece in its series Working Papers with number 135.
Date of creation: Jul 2011
Date of revision:
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2011-11-28 (All new papers)
- NEP-CBA-2011-11-28 (Central Banking)
- NEP-HIS-2011-11-28 (Business, Economic & Financial History)
- NEP-MON-2011-11-28 (Monetary Economics)
- NEP-OPM-2011-11-28 (Open Economy Macroeconomic)
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