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Monetary policy rules and foreign currency positions

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Author Info

  • De Paoli, Bianca

    ()
    (Bank of England)

  • Küçük-Tuğer, Hande

    ()
    (Centre for Economic Performance, London School of Economics)

  • Søndergaard, Jens

    ()
    (Fixed Income Research, Global Markets EMEA, Nomura International plc)

Abstract

Using an endogenous portfolio choice model, this paper examines how different monetary policy regimes can lead to different foreign currency positions by changing the cyclical properties of the nominal exchange rate. We find that strict inflation-targeting regimes are associated with a short position in foreign currency, while the opposite is true for non inflation targeting regimes. We also explore how these different external positions affect the international transmission of monetary shocks through the valuation channel. When central banks follow inflation-targeting Taylor-type rules, valuation effects of monetary expansions are beggar-thy-self, but they are beggar-thy-neighbour in a money growth targeting regime (or when monetary policy puts weight on output stabilisation).

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Bank of England in its series Bank of England working papers with number 403.

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Length: 51 pages
Date of creation: 28 Oct 2010
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:boe:boeewp:0403

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Keywords: Portfolio choice; international transmission of shocks; monetary policy;

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  1. Nicolas Coeurdacier & Robert Kollmann & Philippe Martin, 2007. "International Portfolios with Supply, Demand and Redistributive Shocks," NBER Working Papers 13424, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Corsetti, Giancarlo & Pesenti, Paolo & Roubini, Nouriel & Tille, Cedric, 2000. "Competitive devaluations: toward a welfare-based approach," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(1), pages 217-241, June.
  3. Coeurdacier, Nicolas & Kollmann, Robert & Martin, Philippe, 2008. "International Portfolios, Capital Accumulation and Foreign Assets Dynamics," CEPR Discussion Papers 6902, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  4. Bianca De Paoli, 2004. "Monetary policy and welfare in a small open economy," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 19950, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  5. Astley, Mark & Giese, Julia & Hume, Michael & Kubelec, Chris, 2009. "Global imbalances and the financial crisis," Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, Bank of England, vol. 49(3), pages 178-190.
  6. Matthew Higgins & Thomas Klitgaard & Cédric Tille, 2006. "Borrowing without debt? Understanding the U.S. international investment position," Staff Reports 271, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  7. Jonathan Heathcote & Fabrizio Perri, 2013. "The international diversification puzzle is not as bad as you think," Working Papers 472, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
  8. Vincent Labhard & Gabriel Sterne & Chris Young, 2005. "Wealth and consumption: an assessment of the international evidence," Bank of England working papers 275, Bank of England.
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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Devereux, Michael B & Senay, Ozge & Sutherland, Alan, 2012. "Nominal Stability and Financial Globalization," CEPR Discussion Papers 8830, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  2. Gianluca Benigno & Hande Küçük-Tuger, 2011. "Portfolio Allocation and International Risk Sharing," CEP Discussion Papers dp1048, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.

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