IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bny/wpaper/0059.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Markov Switching Panel with Network Interaction Effects

Author

Listed:
  • Komla Mawulom Agudze
  • Monica Billio
  • Roberto Casarin
  • Francesco Ravazzolo

Abstract

The paper introduces a new dynamic panel model for large data sets of time series, each of them characterized by a series-specific Markov switching process. By introducing a neighbourhood system based on a network structure, the model accounts for local and global interactions among the switching processes. We develop an efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm for the posterior approximation based on the Metropolis adjusted Langevin sampling method. We study efficiency and convergence of the proposed MCMC algorithm through several simulation experiments. In the empirical application, we deal with US states coincident indices, produced by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, and find evidence that local interactions of state-level cycles with geographically and economically networks play a substantial role in the common movements of US regional business cycles.

Suggested Citation

  • Komla Mawulom Agudze & Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2018. "Markov Switching Panel with Network Interaction Effects," Working Papers No 1/2018, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    • Handle: RePEc:bny:wpaper:0059
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://brage.bibsys.no/xmlui/bitstream/handle/11250/2477643/WP_CAMP_1_2018.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy Piger & Daniel Soques, 2022. "Contagious switching," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(2), pages 415-432, March.
    2. Antonio Pacifico, 2019. "Structural Panel Bayesian VAR Model to Deal with Model Misspecification and Unobserved Heterogeneity Problems," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-24, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bayesian inference; interacting Markov chains; Metropolis adjusted Langevin; panel Markov-switching.;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bny:wpaper:0059. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Helene Olsen (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cambino.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.