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Analyzing Bangladesh’s Debt Sustainability Using SimSIP Debt


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  • Bernhard G. Gunter

    (Bangladesh Development Research Center (BDRC))

  • A. F. M. Ataur Rahman

    (Department of Economics, North South University, Dhaka)


The ability to pay for a government-led investment strategy to achieve the millennium development goals (MDGs) is determined by the resources available to the government through economic growth, taxation, loans, and grants. Unsustainable public debts increase poverty directly through negative impacts on economic growth as well as indirectly through cuts in spending. Hence, the issue of fiscal debt sustainability is critical for achieving the MDGs. In this paper, we use the debt projection module of SimSIP Debt to project the evolution of Bangladesh’s public debt over a 15-year horizon (from fiscal year 2006 to fiscal year 2021) under three different macroeconomic scenarios and two different financing scenarios of an ambitious government-led investment strategy.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Bangladesh Development Research Center (BDRC) in its series Bangladesh Development Research Working Paper Series (BDRWPS) with number BDRWPS No. 2.

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Length: 26 pages
Date of creation: Jun 2008
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:bnr:wpaper:2

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Keywords: Bangladesh; debt sustainability; aid;

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  1. Gunter, Bernhard G. & Rahman, Jesmin & Wodon, Quentin, 2008. "Robbing Peter to Pay Paul? Understanding Who Pays for Debt Relief," World Development, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 1-16, January.
  2. BERLAGE, Lodewijk & CASSIMON, Danny & DRÈZE, Jacques & REDING, Paul, . "Prospective aid and indebtedness relief: a proposal," CORE Discussion Papers RP, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE) -1660, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
  3. Bernhard G. Gunter, 2010. "Does the HIPC Initiative Achieve its Goal of Debt Sustainability?," Working Papers id:3205, eSocialSciences.
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Cited by:
  1. Shah, Md. Mahmud Hasan & Pervin, Shahida, 2012. "External public debt and economic growth: empirical evidence from Bangladesh, 1974 to 2010," MPRA Paper 55407, University Library of Munich, Germany.


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