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Strategic Investor Behaviour and the Volume-Volatility Relation in Equity Markets

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Author Info
Randi Naes ()
Johannes A. Skjeltorp () (Norges Bank)

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Abstract

We examine the volume-volatility relation using detailed data from a limit order driven equity market. Estimates of the intraday slope of the demand and supply schedules of the order book are found to capture regularities in spreads, trade size and submission strategies which are believed to be related to asymmetric information. On a daily level, the order book slope should also captures differences in dispersion of beliefs about stock values. The relationship between our daily slope measure and the contemporaneous volatility across companies and time supports models where strategic trading and dispersion of beliefs increase both volume and volatility.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Norges Bank in its series Working Paper with number 2003/9.

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Length: 46 pages
Date of creation: 16 Oct 2003
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Handle: RePEc:bno:worpap:2003_09

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Related research
Keywords: Market Microstructure Volume-volatility relation Equity trading Asymmetric Information

Find related papers by JEL classification:
G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General

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  1. Clark, Peter K, 1973. "A Subordinated Stochastic Process Model with Finite Variance for Speculative Prices," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 41(1), pages 135-55, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Shalen, Catherine T, 1993. "Volume, Volatility, and the Dispersion of Beliefs," Review of Financial Studies, Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(2), pages 405-34. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Harris, Milton & Raviv, Artur, 1993. "Differences of Opinion Make a Horse Race," Review of Financial Studies, Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(3), pages 473-506. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Huang, Roger D. & Masulis, Ronald W., 2003. "Trading activity and stock price volatility: evidence from the London Stock Exchange," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 10(3), pages 249-269, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Shiller, Robert J, 1981. "Do Stock Prices Move Too Much to be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Dividends?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 71(3), pages 421-36, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  6. Glosten, Lawrence R, 1994. " Is the Electronic Open Limit Order Book Inevitable?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 49(4), pages 1127-61, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Benoit Mandelbrot, 1963. "The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 36, pages 394. [Downloadable!]
  8. Foucault, Thierry, 1999. "Order flow composition and trading costs in a dynamic limit order market1," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 99-134, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Biais, Bruno & Hillion, Pierre & Spatt, Chester, 1995. " An Empirical Analysis of the Limit Order Book and the Order Flow in the Paris Bourse," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(5), pages 1655-89, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Handa, Puneet & Schwartz, Robert A, 1996. " Limit Order Trading," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(5), pages 1835-61, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Jones, Charles M & Kaul, Gautam & Lipson, Marc L, 1994. "Transactions, Volume, and Volatility," Review of Financial Studies, Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 7(4), pages 631-51. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. French, Kenneth R. & Roll, Richard, 1986. "Stock return variances : The arrival of information and the reaction of traders," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 5-26, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Jennings, Robert H & Starks, Laura T & Fellingham, John C, 1981. "An Equilibrium Model of Asset Trading with Sequential Information Arrival," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 36(1), pages 143-61, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Eugene F. Fama, 1963. "Mandelbrot and the Stable Paretian Hypothesis," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 36, pages 420. [Downloadable!]
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