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Has the transmission of policy rates to lending rates been impaired by the Global Financial Crisis?

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  • Leonardo Gambacorta
  • Anamaria Illes
  • Marco Jacopo Lombardi

Abstract

Central banks of major advanced economies have maintained a very accommodative monetary policy stance in the last few years. However, concerns have surfaced that the transmission of low policy rates to lending rates has been weaker than in the past. Has the transmission of policy rates to lending rates been impaired by the Global Financial Crisis? To answer this question, we first estimate standard cointegrating equations linking policy and lending rates for non-financial firms in Italy, Spain, United Kingdom and United States. We then test for structural change in the cointegration parameters, reporting strong evidence of a break after Lehman Brothers' default. Such structural break is due to a strong increase in the mark-up between the lending rate and the policy rate that standard models assume constant in the long run. The structural shift is explained by compounding the lending rate equation with measures of risk.

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  • Leonardo Gambacorta & Anamaria Illes & Marco Jacopo Lombardi, 2014. "Has the transmission of policy rates to lending rates been impaired by the Global Financial Crisis?," BIS Working Papers 477, Bank for International Settlements.
    • Handle: RePEc:bis:biswps:477
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Salachas, Evangelos N. & Laopodis, Nikiforos T. & Kouretas, Georgios P., 2017. "The bank-lending channel and monetary policy during pre- and post-2007 crisis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 176-187.
    2. Andries, Natalia & Billon, Steve, 2016. "Retail bank interest rate pass-through in the euro area: An empirical survey," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 170-194.
    3. Liu, Kerry, 2019. "The determinants of China's lending rates and interest rates pass-through: A cointegration analysis," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(1), pages 66-71.
    4. Christian Bittner & Diana Bonfim & Florian Heider & Farzad Saidi & Glenn Schepens & Carla Soares, 2022. "The Augmented Bank Balance-Sheet Channel of Monetary Policy," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 149, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    5. Gustavo Adler & Carolina Osorio Buitron, 2020. "Tipping the scale? The workings of monetary policy through trade," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(3), pages 744-759, August.
    6. Ćehajić, Aida & Košak, Marko, 2021. "Macroprudential measures and developments in bank funding costs," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    7. Semyon Malamud & Andreas Schrimpf, 2016. "Intermediation Markups and Monetary Policy Passthrough," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 16-75, Swiss Finance Institute.
    8. Andrew Filardo & Jouchi Nakajima, 2018. "Effectiveness of unconventional monetary policies in a low interest rate environment," BIS Working Papers 691, Bank for International Settlements.
    9. Kerry Liu, 2017. "China's Interest Rate Pass-through to Commercial Banks Before and After Interest Rate Liberalisation," Economic Affairs, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(2), pages 279-287, June.
    10. Dr. Romain Baeriswyl & Dr. Lucas Marc Fuhrer & Dr. Petra Gerlach & Dr. Jörn Tenhofen, 2021. "The dynamics of bank rates in a negative-rate environment - the Swiss case," Working Papers 2021-05, Swiss National Bank.
    11. Heider, Florian & Leonello, Agnese, 2021. "Monetary Policy in a Low Interest Rate Environment: Reversal Rate and Risk-Taking," Working Paper Series 2593, European Central Bank.
    12. Lahura, Erick, 2017. "El efecto traspaso de la tasa de interés de política monetaria en Perú: evidencia reciente," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 33, pages 9-27.
    13. Meixing Dai & Fanny Loux, 2017. "Les taux d’intérêt nominaux négatifs sont-ils efficaces pour relancer la croissance des crédits et de l’économie ?," Bulletin de l'Observatoire des politiques économiques en Europe, Observatoire des Politiques Économiques en Europe (OPEE), vol. 36(1), pages 9-20, June.
    14. B. De Backer, 2015. "Decomposition of the dynamics of sovereign yield spreads in the euro area," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 54-75, June.
    15. Jaakko Sääskilahti, 2018. "Retail Bank Interest Margins in Low Interest Rate Environments," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 53(1), pages 37-68, February.
    16. Mariusz Kapuściński & Ewa Stanisławska, 2016. "Interest rate pass-through in Poland since the global financial crisis," NBP Working Papers 247, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    17. Anamaria Illes & Marco Lombardi & Paul Mizen, 2015. "Why did bank lending rates diverge from policy rates after the financial crisis?," BIS Working Papers 486, Bank for International Settlements.
    18. Florian Heider & Farzad Saidi & Glenn Schepens, 2021. "Banks and Negative Interest Rates," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 13(1), pages 201-218, November.
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    Keywords

    monetary policy; lending rates; cointegration; global financial crisis;
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