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Measuring monetary policy shocks in France, Germany and Italy: The role of the exchange rate

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Author Info
Frank Smets (European Central Bank (ECB))

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Abstract

In the identified VAR literature the role of the exchange rate in measuring monetary policy shocks has often been neglected. However, many open economies find it useful to target the exchange rate. In such a regime exchange rate innovations will better capture domestic monetary policy shocks. This paper first estimates the weight on the ECU exchange rate in France, Germany and Italy under the ERM regime. Next, these weights are used to identify a typical monetary policy shock in these countries and analyse its effects on output, inflation, the interest rate and the exchange rate.

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Paper provided by Bank for International Settlements in its series BIS Working Papers with number 42.

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Length: 25 pages
Date of creation: Jun 1997
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Handle: RePEc:bis:biswps:42

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  1. Giuseppe De Arcangelis & Giorgio Di Giorgio, 1999. "Monetary Policy Shocks and Transmission in Italy: A VAR Analysis," Economics Working Papers 446, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra. [Downloadable!]
  2. Marcelo Sánchez, 2005. "The link between interest rates and exchange rates - do contractionary depreciations make a difference?," Working Paper Series 548, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  3. Igor MASTEN, 2002. "How Important Is the Shock-Absorbing Role of the Real Exchange Rate?," Economics Working Papers ECO2002/06, European University Institute. [Downloadable!]
  4. Fabio C. Bagliano & Carlo A. Favero, . "Information from financial markets and VAR measures of monetary policy," Working Papers 135, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Michael Artis & Michael Ehrmann, 2000. "The Exchange Rate -a Shock-Absorber or Source of Shocks? A Study of Four Open Economies," EUI-RSCAS Working Papers 38, European University Institute (EUI), Robert Schuman Centre of Advanced Studies (RSCAS). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. F. Smets & R. Wouters, 1999. "The Exchange Rate and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Germany," DNB Staff Reports (discontinued) 35, Netherlands Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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