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Long-term fiscal sustainability in major economies

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  • Alan J Auerbach

Abstract

As the world economy slowly recovers from the very deep and widespread recession of recent years, many countries confront very serious fiscal imbalances. How much time they have to deal with these imbalances is a central question, the salience of which can only have been increased by the ongoing fiscal crisis and bailout in Greece and the immediate fiscal adjustments being discussed or already undertaken in several other countries. There is little doubt that much of the current attention to fiscal imbalances is attributable to the rapid increases in debt to GDP ratios arising from the recession, either directly through the automatic tax and spending responses to slow growth, or indirectly through the countercyclical discretionary fiscal measures undertaken. Table 1 shows the evolution of net general government debt to GDP ratios for several leading economies in recent years, starting in 2007, just as the worldwide recession began.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Bank for International Settlements in its series BIS Working Papers with number 361.

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Length: 53 pages
Date of creation: Nov 2011
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:bis:biswps:361

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Keywords: deficit; fiscal gap; fiscal rule; fiscal policy; fiscal sustainability;

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  1. Davis, E. Philip & Karim, Dilruba, 2008. "Comparing early warning systems for banking crises," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 4(2), pages 89-120, June.
  2. Nicos Christodoulakis, 2011. "From Indecision to Fast-Track Privatisations: Can Greece Still do it?," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 217(1), pages R60-R74, July.
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