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Induced Preferences, Non Additive Probabilities and Multiple Priors

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Author Info
Kelsey, D.
Milne, F.

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Abstract

We study a decision-maker who follows the Savage axioms. We show that if s(he) is able to take unobservable actions which influence the probabilities of outcomes then it can appear to an outsider as if his/her subjective probabilities are non-additive. Implications for multi-period decisions are explored.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Department of Economics, University of Birmingham in its series Discussion Papers with number 96-15.

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Length: 30 pages
Date of creation: 1996
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:bir:birmec:96-15

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Postal: Edgbaston, Birmingham, B15 2TT
Web page: http://www.economics.bham.ac.uk
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Related research
Keywords: RISK; STATISTICS; UNCERTAINTY; RISK AVERSION;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
D80 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - General
D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
D89 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Other

Cited by:
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  1. Mark J. Machina, 2000. "Payoff Kinks in Preferences over Lotteries," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 2000-22, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
  2. Bailey, Ralph W. & Eichberger, Jürgen & Kelsey, David, 2004. "Ambiguity and Public Good Provision in Large Societies," Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications 04-54, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim & Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim.
    Other versions:
  3. Grant, Simon & Eichberger, Jürgen & Kelsey, David, 2004. "CEU Preferences and Dynamic Consistency," Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications 04-47, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim & Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-19.


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