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Climate Change, Hydro-dependency and the African Dam Boom

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Author Info

  • Matthew Cole
  • Robert Elliott
  • Eric Strobl

Abstract

We examine Africa's increasing reliance on hydropower in light of climate change induced variations in rainfall and the potential power outages that may result. We use a continent wide riverflow material model and IPPC climate change scenarios and show that current plans for African dam building are fairly well matched with river-flow predictions so that fears that international donors and national governments are making a series of expensive and environmentally damaging investments may be overstated. However, predictions of an increase in extreme events and reduced rainfall for certain countries means there are still viabilty concerns for certain planned hydropower investments.

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File URL: ftp://ftp.bham.ac.uk/pub/RePEc/pdf/14-03.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Department of Economics, University of Birmingham in its series Discussion Papers with number 14-03.

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Length: 45 pages
Date of creation: Mar 2014
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:bir:birmec:14-03

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Postal: Edgbaston, Birmingham, B15 2TT
Web page: http://www.economics.bham.ac.uk
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Keywords: Hydropower; Climate Change; Africa Energy;

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  1. Khennas, Smail, 2012. "Understanding the political economy and key drivers of energy access in addressing national energy access priorities and policies: African Perspective," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(S1), pages 21-26.
  2. Foster, Vivien & Steinbuks, Jevgenijs, 2009. "Paying the price for unreliable power supplies : in-house generation of electricity by firms in Africa," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4913, The World Bank.
  3. IIMI, Atsushi, 2007. "Estimating global climate change impacts on hydropower projects : applications in India, Sri Lanka and Vietnam," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4344, The World Bank.
  4. Jane Ebinger & Walter Vergara, 2011. "Climate Impacts on Energy Systems : Key Issues for Energy Sector Adaptation," World Bank Publications, The World Bank, number 2271, October.
  5. Francis Yamba & Hartley Walimwipi & Suman Jain & Peter Zhou & Boaventura Cuamba & Cornelius Mzezewa, 2011. "Climate change/variability implications on hydroelectricity generation in the Zambezi River Basin," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 16(6), pages 617-628, August.
  6. AfDB AfDB, . "The Africa Competitiveness Report 2013," Africa Competitiveness Report, African Development Bank, number 456, 7.
  7. World Bank, 2012. "World Development Indicators 2012," World Bank Publications, The World Bank, number 6014, October.
  8. Karekezi, Stephen, 2002. "Poverty and energy in Africa--A brief review," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 30(11-12), pages 915-919, September.
  9. Deichmann, Uwe & Meisner, Craig & Murray, Siobhan & Wheeler, David, 2011. "The economics of renewable energy expansion in rural Sub-Saharan Africa," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 215-227, January.
  10. Wolde-Rufael, Yemane, 2006. "Electricity consumption and economic growth: a time series experience for 17 African countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 34(10), pages 1106-1114, July.
  11. Salvador Barrios & Luisito Bertinelli & Eric Strobl, 2010. "Trends in Rainfall and Economic Growth in Africa: A Neglected Cause of the African Growth Tragedy," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 92(2), pages 350-366, May.
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