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Global Bifurcations, Credit Rationing and Recurrent Hyperinflations

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  • Pere Gomis-Porqueras
  • Àlex Haro

Abstract

This paper proposes an alternative explanation to recurrent hyperinflations other than bounded rationality by explicitly considering the global dynamics of an economy with credit market frictions. In this paper we show that hyperinflations are self-generated and are manifestations of the underlying global dynamic properties of an economy with perfect foresight rational agents that face credit rationing. Moreover, we found that economies that are more credit constrained are more likely to experience recurrent hyperinflations.

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File URL: http://research.barcelonagse.eu/tmp/working_papers/239.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Barcelona Graduate School of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 239.

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Date of creation: Dec 2005
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Handle: RePEc:bge:wpaper:239

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Keywords: Nonlinear Dynamical Systems; Global Dynamics;

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References

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  1. Patrick Pintus & Ducan Sands & Robin De Vilder, 1998. "On the Transition from Local Regular to Global Irregular Fluctuations," Working Papers 98-54, Centre de Recherche en Economie et Statistique.
  2. de Vilder, Robin, 1996. "Complicated Endogenous Business Cycles under Gross Substitutability," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 71(2), pages 416-442, November.
  3. Marcet, Albert & Nicolini, Juan Pablo, 1998. "Recurrent Hyperinflations and Learning," CEPR Discussion Papers 1875, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  4. Bental, Benjamin & Eckstein, Zvi, 1990. "The Dynamics of Inflation with Constant Deficit under Expected Regime Change," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 100(403), pages 1245-60, December.
  5. Williamson, Stephen D., 1986. "Costly monitoring, financial intermediation, and equilibrium credit rationing," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 159-179, September.
  6. William A. Brock & Cars H. Hommes, 1997. "A Rational Route to Randomness," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 65(5), pages 1059-1096, September.
  7. Evans, Jean Lynne & Yarrow, George Keith, 1981. "Some Implications of Alternative Expectations Hypotheses in the Monetary Analysis of Hyperinflations," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 33(1), pages 61-80, March.
  8. Bruce D. Smith & John H. Boyd, 1998. "Capital market imperfections in a monetary growth model," Economic Theory, Springer, vol. 11(2), pages 241-273.
  9. Gomis-Porqueras, Pere & Haro, Alex, 2003. "Global dynamics in macroeconomics: an overlapping generations example," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 27(11-12), pages 1941-1959, September.
  10. Beatrix Paal, 2000. "Destabilizing effects of a successful stabilization: a forward-looking explanation of the second Hungarian hyperinflation," Economic Theory, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 599-630.
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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Pere Gomis-Porqueras & Àlex Haro, 2008. "A Geometric Description of a Macroeconomic Model with a Center Manifold," Working Papers 364, Barcelona Graduate School of Economics.
  2. Alex Haro & Pere Gomis-Poruqeras, 2004. "Computing Center Manifolds: A Macroeconomic Example," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 38, Society for Computational Economics.
  3. Anna Agliari & George Vachadze, 2011. "Homoclinic and Heteroclinic Bifurcations in an Overlapping Generations Model with Credit Market Imperfection," Computational Economics, Society for Computational Economics, vol. 38(3), pages 241-260, October.
  4. Peter Bernholz & Peter Kugler, 2009. "The Success of Currency Reforms to End Great Inflations: An Empirical Analysis of 34 High Inflations," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 10, pages 165-175, 05.

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