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Modelisation et prevision des indices de prix sectoriels

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Author Info

  • Jondeau, E.
  • Le Bihan, H.
  • Sedillot, F.

Abstract

Ce papier presente une modelisation de l'indice des prix francais. L'objectif est de permettre une analyse rapide et detaillee des tendances de court terme de l'inflation ainsi que de realiser des previsions a intervalles rapproches. Les caracteristiques de cet outil sont les suivantes: un petit nombre d'equations, une frequence mensuelle, un detail sectoriel assez fin et la publication d'intervalles de confiance relatifs a la prevision.

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File URL: http://www.banque-france.fr/uploads/tx_bdfdocumentstravail/ner68.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Banque de France in its series Working papers with number 68.

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Length: 37 pages
Date of creation: 1999
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:bfr:banfra:68

Contact details of provider:
Postal: Banque de France 31 Rue Croix des Petits Champs LABOLOG - 49-1404 75049 PARIS
Web page: http://www.banque-france.fr/
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Related research

Keywords: Modèles economiques ; Prevision ; Instrument de mesure ; Prix;

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Cited by:
  1. Baghli, M. & Brunhes-Lesage, V. & De Bandt, O. & Fraisse, H. & Villetelle, J-P., 2003. "Le modèle de prévision MASCOTTE pour l’économie française : principales propriétés et résultats de variantes," Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 118, pages 63-86.
  2. Bruneau, C. & De Bandt, O. & Flageollet, A., 2003. "Forecasting Inflation in the Euro Area," Working papers 102, Banque de France.

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