La Modélisation Macro–Econométrique Dynamique
AbstractThis paper presents the recent developments of macro-econometric modelling and discusses their advantages and limits. We first present the Sims critique and the Lucas critique. These two critiques have opened two new ways of macro-modelling. On the one hand, the Structural VAR approach allows to simply represent aggregate data with a small number of restrictions and to easily conduct various quantitative exercises (forecasting, dynamic multipliers of economic policy). On the other hand, the DSGE approach considers structural dynamic models wherein reduced forms are deduced from dynamic optimization problems (households, firms,...) with respect to a set of constraints. We thus present various quantitative methods and we discuss their advantages and limits.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Banque de France in its series Working papers with number 129.
Length: 60 pages
Date of creation: 2005
Date of revision:
Macro-econometric Modelling; Sims Critique; Lucas Critique; Quantitative Methods.;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
- C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
- E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
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